Basketball · Bahrain Premier League · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Samaheej vs Sitra
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
Samaheej77.7
Sitra90
1X2
Samaheej
Sitra
Recent form · 10 last
Samaheej
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Sitra
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Samaheej
3–3
Sitra
(6 last)
- Samaheej78-84Sitra
- Samaheej70-88Sitra
- Sitra71-69Samaheej
- Sitra62-67Samaheej
- Samaheej82-76Sitra
- Samaheej90-57Sitra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samaheej 1454 · Sitra 1498
| Samaheej | Sitra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.8 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8Samaheej 77.7 · Sitra 90
Match keys
- Sitra is a clear favourite (81% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Samaheej | Sitra | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.8 / 80.5 | 89.7 / 93.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.2 / 89 | 78 / 90.8 |
| Est. result | 78 | 90 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U164.5
Diff.3.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samaheej 3–0–3 Sitra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Bahrain BA Cup | Samaheej | 78-84 | Sitra |
| 22/01/26 Bahrain Premier League | Samaheej | 70-88 | Sitra |
| 25/12/25 Bahrain Premier League | Sitra | 71-69 | Samaheej |
| 12/03/25 Bahrain Premier League | Sitra | 62-67 | Samaheej |
| 06/02/25 Bahrain Premier League | Samaheej | 82-76 | Sitra |
| 22/01/24 Bahrain Premier League | Samaheej | 90-57 | Sitra |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Samaheej | Sitra |
|---|---|---|
| Isa Town | 93-103 L | 110-92 W |
| Al Hala | 64-85 L | 81-95 L |
| Al Muharraq | 60-95 L | 73-97 L |
| Al Ittihad (Bahrain) | 76-91 L | 86-90 L |
| Al Bahrain | 100-71 W | 105-96 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sitra (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samaheej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
93-103 | L |
| 14/10 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
64-85 | L |
| 06/10 | Al Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
60-95 | L |
| 19/02 | Al Ittihad (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
76-91 | L |
| 13/02 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
88-71 | W |
| 05/02 | Al Bahrain Bahrain Premier League |
100-71 | W |
| 22/01 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
70-88 | L |
| 13/01 | Al Ittihad (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
60-63 | L |
| 08/01 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
91-64 | W |
| 03/01 | Al Bahrain Bahrain Premier League |
96-74 | W |
Sitra
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Al Nuwaidrat Bahrain Premier League |
83-82 | W |
| 20/10 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
81-95 | L |
| 14/10 | Al Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
73-97 | L |
| 05/10 | Al Manama Bahrain Premier League |
67-84 | L |
| 17/03 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
86-96 | L |
| 16/03 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
104-92 | W |
| 13/03 | Al Hala Bahrain Premier League |
102-107 | L |
| 19/02 | Isa Town Bahrain Premier League |
110-92 | W |
| 07/02 | Al Ittihad (Bahrain) Bahrain Premier League |
86-90 | L |
| 29/01 | Al Bahrain Bahrain Premier League |
105-96 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samaheej vs Sitra?
Our model gives 81% to Sitra.
How many points are expected in Samaheej vs Sitra?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Samaheej 77.7 · Sitra 90).