Basketball · Chile LNB · 05/11, 01:30
Prediction: CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud
Team pages: CDU Concepcion · ABA Ancud
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.4Total
CDU Concepcion90.4
ABA Ancud75.9
1X2
CDU Concepcion
ABA Ancud
Recent form · 10 last
CDU Concepcion
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
ABA Ancud
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CDU Concepcion
4–2
ABA Ancud
(6 last)
- CDU Concepcion95-78ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud91-73CDU Concepcion
- ABA Ancud67-79CDU Concepcion
- CDU Concepcion79-70ABA Ancud
- CDU Concepcion63-77ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud75-84CDU Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CDU Concepcion 1545 · ABA Ancud 1443
| CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.4 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.4CDU Concepcion 90.4 · ABA Ancud 75.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDU Concepcion (rating 1545 vs 1443).
- CDU Concepcion is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours CDU Concepcion: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 82.3 | 79 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.2 / 77.4 | 79 / 85.4 |
| Est. result | 90 | 76 |
Est. total166.4
Line O/U167.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CDU Concepcion 4–0–2 ABA Ancud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/26 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 95-78 | ABA Ancud |
| 16/10/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 91-73 | CDU Concepcion |
| 01/11/25 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 67-79 | CDU Concepcion |
| 30/10/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 79-70 | ABA Ancud |
| 20/10/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 63-77 | ABA Ancud |
| 04/10/25 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 75-84 | CDU Concepcion |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1226 | 1064 | 26 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1169 | 1010 | 26 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1222 | 1133 | 24 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1079 | 1128 | 20 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1093 | 1163 | 20 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1055 | 1192 | 17 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1006 | 1099 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Valdivia | 91-76 W | 92-95 L |
| Puente Alto | 98-78 W | 70-78 L |
| Colegio Los Leones | 89-64 W | 81-91 L |
| Espanol Osorno | 75-89 L | 74-68 W |
| Puerto Varas | 98-91 W | 72-73 L |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 92-87 W | 80-93 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CDU Concepcion (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CDU Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
91-76 | W |
| 31/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
98-78 | W |
| 26/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
89-64 | W |
| 22/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
95-78 | W |
| 16/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
73-91 | L |
| 15/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
75-89 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
85-101 | L |
| 08/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-68 | W |
| 04/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
98-91 | W |
| 03/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
92-87 | W |
ABA Ancud
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
81-91 | L |
| 29/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
92-95 | L |
| 25/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-68 | W |
| 22/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
78-95 | L |
| 18/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-78 | L |
| 16/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-73 | W |
| 09/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
77-90 | L |
| 08/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
75-85 | L |
| 05/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
80-93 | L |
| 03/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
72-73 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud?
Our model gives 85% to CDU Concepcion.
How many points are expected in CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud?
The model estimates 166.4 total points (CDU Concepcion 90.4 · ABA Ancud 75.9).