Basketball · Ukraine FBU Superleague · 13/11, 17:00

Prediction: Cherkaski Mavpy vs Niko-Basket Mykolaiv

Team pages: Niko-Basket Mykolaiv

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.8Total

Cherkaski Mavpy76.7

Niko-Basket Mykolaiv78.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Cherkaski Mavpy Niko-Basket Mykolaiv

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Cherkaski Mavpy 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLL

Niko-Basket Mykolaiv 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Cherkaski Mavpy 2–2 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv (4 last)

Niko-Basket Mykolaiv71-89Cherkaski Mavpy
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv69-56Cherkaski Mavpy
Cherkaski Mavpy68-70Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
Niko-Basket Mykolaiv81-86Cherkaski Mavpy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cherkaski Mavpy 1412 · Niko-Basket Mykolaiv 1471

	Cherkaski Mavpy	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
Our model	54%	46%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 154.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.8Cherkaski Mavpy 76.7 · Niko-Basket Mykolaiv 78.1

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cherkaski Mavpy	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
Points F\|A (Last 10)	65.8 / 86	80.4 / 86.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	62.4 / 85.6	83 / 85.8
Est. result	77	78

Est. total154.8

Line O/U155.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 3.85 · Est. total: 159.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
14:45 +2’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cherkaski Mavpy 2–0–2 Niko-Basket Mykolaiv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv	71-89	Cherkaski Mavpy
07/02/26 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv	69-56	Cherkaski Mavpy
05/12/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Cherkaski Mavpy	68-70	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
11/10/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv	81-86	Cherkaski Mavpy

Standings · Ukraine FBU Superleague

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Dnipro	7	6	1	572	511
2	BC Rivne	10	7	3	827	777
3	Zaporizhya	9	6	3	741	672
4	Kharkivski Sokoly	9	6	3	749	665
5	Kyiv Basket	9	6	3	719	649
6	Staryi Lutsk University	10	3	7	735	789
7	Khmelnytskyi	7	2	5	488	548
8	BC Goverla	7	2	5	506	547
9	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv	7	2	5	551	600
10	Cherkaski Mavpy	7	1	6	462	592

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cherkaski Mavpy	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv
Zaporizhya	65-74 L	89-73 W
Dnipro	60-98 L	80-82 L
Staryi Lutsk University	66-75 L	92-81 W
BC Rivne	64-76 L	84-93 L
Kharkivski Sokoly	57-105 L	65-82 L
Kyiv Basket	61-93 L	70-100 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Niko-Basket Mykolaiv (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cherkaski Mavpy

WLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Zaporizhya Ukraine FBU Superleague	65-74	L
07/11	Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague	60-98	L
25/10	Staryi Lutsk University Ukraine FBU Superleague	66-75	L
23/10	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	64-76	L
18/10	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	57-105	L
17/10	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	61-93	L
03/10	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv Ukraine FBU Superleague	89-71	W
08/04	Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague	67-109	L
04/04	Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague	62-93	L
27/03	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	67-66	W

Niko-Basket Mykolaiv

WLLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague	80-82	L
07/11	Zaporizhya Ukraine FBU Superleague	89-73	W
25/10	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	84-93	L
23/10	Staryi Lutsk University Ukraine FBU Superleague	92-81	W
18/10	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	70-100	L
17/10	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	65-82	L
03/10	Cherkaski Mavpy Ukraine FBU Superleague	71-89	L
08/04	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	88-98	L
04/04	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	81-89	L
29/03	BC Goverla Ukraine FBU Superleague	84-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cherkaski Mavpy vs Niko-Basket Mykolaiv?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Cherkaski Mavpy 46% · Niko-Basket Mykolaiv 54%).

How many points are expected in Cherkaski Mavpy vs Niko-Basket Mykolaiv?

The model estimates 154.8 total points (Cherkaski Mavpy 76.7 · Niko-Basket Mykolaiv 78.1).