Basketball · Lebanon FLB · 30/10, 19:30

Prediction: Homenetmen vs Central

Team pages: Central

Prediction summary

Estimated points

184.2Total

Homenetmen89.9

Central94.2

1X2

38% 62%

Homenetmen Central

Recent form · 10 last

Homenetmen 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLL

Central 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Homenetmen 3–3 Central (6 last)

Central105-96Homenetmen
Homenetmen94-103Central
Central92-99Homenetmen
Homenetmen100-82Central
Homenetmen83-99Central
Homenetmen114-107Central

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Homenetmen 1417 · Central 1582

	Homenetmen	Central
Our model	39%	61%
Market	38%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 184.2 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +6.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points184.2Homenetmen 89.9 · Central 94.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central (rating 1417 vs 1582).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Homenetmen	Central
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.3 / 101.7	83.9 / 79.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 98.8	82.4 / 87
Est. result	90	94

Est. total184.2

Line O/U177.5

Diff.6.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+10.5)1.83

2 (-10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 177.51.83

Under 177.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 177.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50
2	1.74 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
13:33 +14’	1.95	1.74
14:41 +7’	2.50▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Homenetmen 3–0–3 Central

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Lebanon FLB	Central	105-96	Homenetmen
13/12/25 Lebanon FLB	Homenetmen	94-103	Central
13/05/25 Lebanon FLB	Central	92-99	Homenetmen
16/03/25 Lebanon FLB	Homenetmen	100-82	Central
26/01/25 Lebanon Cup	Homenetmen	83-99	Central
18/05/24 Lebanon Cup	Homenetmen	114-107	Central

Standings · Lebanon FLB

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Antranik	1	1	0	89	72	2
2	Sagesse	1	1	0	109	98	2
3	Chabeb Batroun	1	1	0	88	78	2
4	Central	1	1	0	86	78	2
5	Beirut Club	1	1	0	66	58	2
6	Nadim Souaid Academy	1	0	1	78	86	1
7	Hoops	1	0	1	58	66	1
8	Antonine	1	0	1	78	88	1
9	Atlas	1	0	1	98	109	1
10	Homenetmen	1	0	1	72	89	1
11	Al Riyadi Beirut	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Homenetmen	Central
Sagesse	97-99 L	83-95 L
Chabeb Batroun	74-82 L	76-59 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Homenetmen

WLLWLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Antranik Lebanon FLB	72-89	L
13/06	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	97-99	L
10/06	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	60-106	L
06/06	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	98-118	L
31/05	Chabeb Batroun Lebanon FLB	74-82	L
27/05	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	87-89	L
24/05	Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB	126-125	W
16/02	Central Lebanon FLB	96-105	L
09/02	Beirut Club Lebanon FLB	88-107	L
05/02	CS Maristes Lebanon FLB	105-97	W

Central

WLWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Nadim Souaid Academy Lebanon FLB	86-78	W
18/07	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	83-95	L
15/07	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	75-74	W
13/07	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	93-100	L
11/07	Sagesse Lebanon FLB	75-88	L
12/06	Hoops Lebanon FLB	68-62	W
08/06	Hoops Lebanon FLB	114-72	W
05/06	Hoops Lebanon FLB	82-74	W
31/05	Hoops Lebanon FLB	87-93	L
28/05	Chabeb Batroun Lebanon FLB	76-59	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Homenetmen vs Central?

Our model gives 62% to Central.

How many points are expected in Homenetmen vs Central?

The model estimates 184.2 total points (Homenetmen 89.9 · Central 94.2).