Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 27/10, 22:00
Prediction: La Union Formosa vs Independiente de Oliva
Team pages: La Union Formosa · Independiente de Oliva
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.5Total
La Union Formosa85.3
Independiente de Oliva82.1
1X2
La Union Formosa
Independiente de Oliva
Recent form · 10 last
La Union Formosa
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Independiente de Oliva
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
La Union Formosa
2–4
Independiente de Oliva
(6 last)
- Independiente de Oliva97-92La Union Formosa
- Independiente de Oliva83-78La Union Formosa
- La Union Formosa86-62Independiente de Oliva
- La Union Formosa91-102Independiente de Oliva
- La Union Formosa103-91Independiente de Oliva
- Independiente de Oliva91-87La Union Formosa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · La Union Formosa 1470 · Independiente de Oliva 1503
| La Union Formosa | Independiente de Oliva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.5 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.5La Union Formosa 85.3 · Independiente de Oliva 82.1
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente de Oliva: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| La Union Formosa | Independiente de Oliva | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.5 / 84.7 | 80.3 / 82.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.8 / 86.4 | 84.6 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 85 | 82 |
Est. total167.5
Line O/U166.5
Diff.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Union Formosa 2–0–4 Independiente de Oliva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 97-92 | La Union Formosa |
| 01/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 83-78 | La Union Formosa |
| 27/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 86-62 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 25/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 91-102 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 19/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | La Union Formosa | 103-91 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 05/11/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 91-87 | La Union Formosa |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 428 | 370 | 10 |
| 2 | Penarol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 219 | 6 |
| 3 | Atenas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 339 | 325 | 7 |
| 4 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 316 | 313 | 7 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 6 | 4 | 2 | 479 | 465 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 443 | 419 | 8 |
| 7 | Argentino Junin | 5 | 3 | 2 | 403 | 394 | 8 |
| 8 | Independiente de Oliva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 190 | 3 |
| 9 | Regatas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 153 | 146 | 3 |
| 10 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 6 | 3 | 3 | 482 | 495 | 9 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 2 | 3 | 434 | 427 | 7 |
| 12 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 5 | 2 | 3 | 431 | 440 | 7 |
| 13 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 3 | 402 | 424 | 7 |
| 14 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 243 | 4 |
| 15 | La Union Formosa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 252 | 4 |
| 16 | Obera TC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 406 | 6 |
| 17 | Lanus | 6 | 1 | 5 | 453 | 497 | 7 |
| 18 | San Martin | 4 | 0 | 4 | 361 | 395 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Union Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-74 | L |
| 07/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
90-86 | W |
| 05/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-92 | L |
| 03/05 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-97 | L |
| 01/05 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-83 | L |
| 27/04 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-62 | W |
| 25/04 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-102 | L |
| 18/04 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-84 | L |
| 15/04 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-85 | W |
| 08/04 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
61-82 | L |
Independiente de Oliva
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
108-93 | W |
| 09/10 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-97 | L |
| 19/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
71-81 | L |
| 16/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-66 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-76 | W |
| 11/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
72-77 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-78 | L |
| 03/05 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
97-92 | W |
| 01/05 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-78 | W |
| 27/04 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
62-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Union Formosa vs Independiente de Oliva?
Our model gives 59% to La Union Formosa.
How many points are expected in La Union Formosa vs Independiente de Oliva?
The model estimates 167.5 total points (La Union Formosa 85.3 · Independiente de Oliva 82.1).