Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 10/11, 17:00

Prediction: Atletas vs Silute Silute

Team pages: Atletas · Silute Silute

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166Total

Atletas78.5

Silute Silute87.5

1X2

26% 74%

Atletas Silute Silute

Recent form · 10 last

Atletas 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Silute Silute 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Atletas 3–3 Silute Silute (6 last)

Atletas72-76Silute Silute
Silute Silute84-91Atletas
Silute Silute66-70Atletas
Atletas84-90Silute Silute
Silute Silute69-63Atletas
Atletas82-73Silute Silute

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletas 1413 · Silute Silute 1548

	Atletas	Silute Silute
Our model	44%	56%
Market	21%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 166 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166Atletas 78.5 · Silute Silute 87.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silute Silute (rating 1413 vs 1548).
Silute Silute is a clear favourite (74% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Atletas	Silute Silute
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.2 / 91.7	82.8 / 79.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.2 / 91.8	85.8 / 84.6
Est. result	79	88

Est. total166

Line O/U169.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.40

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+10.5)1.83

2 (-10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 165.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.85 ★
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	2
09:41 +4’	4.40	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:09 +66’	4.63	1.10
11:53 +68’	4.85▲	1.09▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletas 3–0–3 Silute Silute

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/24 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	72-76	Silute Silute
01/02/24 Lithuania NKL	Silute Silute	84-91	Atletas
09/12/23 Lithuania NKL	Silute Silute	66-70	Atletas
19/10/23 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	84-90	Silute Silute
25/02/23 Lithuania NKL	Silute Silute	69-63	Atletas
28/01/23 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	82-73	Silute Silute

Standings · Lithuania NKL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	12	11	1	1086	890
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	11	10	1	992	854
3	Palangos Olimpas	12	10	2	1155	1016
4	Silute Silute	11	8	3	920	884
5	Suduva Mantinga	11	8	3	1009	854
6	Vytis	10	7	3	964	896
7	Neptunas 2	12	8	4	938	900
8	Alytaus Patriotai	12	7	5	1021	1016
9	Plunges Olimpas	12	7	5	991	946
10	Omega-Tauras	12	6	6	1080	1046
11	Zalgiris 2	12	5	7	1130	1162
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	12	5	7	971	1023
13	Kedainiu SC	12	4	8	924	1016
14	Stekas	12	3	9	933	1074
15	Kretinga	12	2	10	962	1072
16	Mazeikiai	12	2	10	921	1064
17	Atletas	11	1	10	850	1019
18	Rytas 2	12	1	11	932	1047

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletas	Silute Silute
Neptunas 2	74-83 L	70-73 L
Kedainiu SC	80-66 W	60-73 L
Mazeikiai	88-97 L	98-79 W
Telsiai	76-100 L	63-103 L
Suduva Mantinga	63-113 L	92-83 W
Vytis	85-97 L	97-86 W
Alytaus Patriotai	75-86 L	92-77 W
Vilkaviskio Perlas	76-84 L	97-81 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Silute Silute (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletas

LLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	74-83	L
05/11	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	80-66	W
31/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	88-97	L
29/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	76-100	L
27/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	63-113	L
22/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	85-97	L
17/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	72-84	L
15/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	83-107	L
10/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	75-86	L
08/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	76-84	L

Silute Silute

WLLWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	98-79	W
05/11	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	63-103	L
03/11	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	92-83	W
31/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	79-72	W
29/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	97-86	W
17/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	92-77	W
15/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	97-81	W
10/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	70-73	L
08/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	60-73	L
03/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	80-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletas vs Silute Silute?

Our model gives 74% to Silute Silute.

How many points are expected in Atletas vs Silute Silute?

The model estimates 166 total points (Atletas 78.5 · Silute Silute 87.5).