Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 24/10, 21:00
Prediction: UMAD vs Tec Mty Guadalajara
Team pages: UMAD · Tec Mty Guadalajara
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.6Total
UMAD83
Tec Mty Guadalajara69.6
1X2
UMAD
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Recent form · 10 last
UMAD
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Tec Mty Guadalajara
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UMAD
6–0
Tec Mty Guadalajara
(6 last)
- Tec Mty Guadalajara57-84UMAD
- Tec Mty Guadalajara50-90UMAD
- Tec Mty Guadalajara41-80UMAD
- UMAD74-63Tec Mty Guadalajara
- Tec Mty Guadalajara60-69UMAD
- UMAD84-61Tec Mty Guadalajara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UMAD 1459 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 1459
| UMAD | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.6 points · Bet365 line 147.5 · +5.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.6UMAD 83 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 69.6
Match keys
- UMAD is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours UMAD: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UMAD | Tec Mty Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.8 / 73.9 | 75.4 / 83.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 77.4 | 81.2 / 82 |
| Est. result | 83 | 70 |
Est. total152.6
Line O/U147.5
Diff.5.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UMAD 6–0–0 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 57-84 | UMAD |
| 14/02/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 50-90 | UMAD |
| 23/03/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 41-80 | UMAD |
| 11/11/23 Mexico Liga ABE | UMAD | 74-63 | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
| 25/02/23 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Guadalajara | 60-69 | UMAD |
| 15/10/22 Mexico Liga ABE | UMAD | 84-61 | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UMAD | Tec Mty Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Montrer | 68-56 W | 95-92 W |
| Anahuac Queretaro | 69-82 L | 89-77 W |
| UPAEP | 52-58 L | 74-86 L |
| Tec Mty Puebla | 63-71 L | 65-92 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UMAD (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UMAD
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
89-63 | W |
| 17/10 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
68-56 | W |
| 16/10 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
69-82 | L |
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
88-98 | L |
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
77-88 | L |
| 26/09 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 19/09 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
74-78 | L |
| 19/09 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
69-75 | L |
| 28/04 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
52-58 | L |
| 18/04 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
63-71 | L |
Tec Mty Guadalajara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
65-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
94-79 | W |
| 15/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
63-70 | L |
| 04/10 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
89-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
95-92 | W |
| 27/09 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
56-71 | L |
| 19/09 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
74-86 | L |
| 19/09 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
72-85 | L |
| 22/04 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
68-84 | L |
| 11/04 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
78-98 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UMAD vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
Our model gives 83% to UMAD.
How many points are expected in UMAD vs Tec Mty Guadalajara?
The model estimates 152.6 total points (UMAD 83 · Tec Mty Guadalajara 69.6).