Basketball · Philippines UAAP · 24/10, 12:00
Prediction: FEU Tamaraws vs ADU Falcons
Team pages: FEU Tamaraws · ADU Falcons
Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.6Total
FEU Tamaraws76.1
ADU Falcons71.5
1X2
FEU Tamaraws
ADU Falcons
Recent form · 10 last
FEU Tamaraws
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
ADU Falcons
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FEU Tamaraws
5–1
ADU Falcons
(6 last)
- FEU Tamaraws53-56ADU Falcons
- ADU Falcons63-79FEU Tamaraws
- FEU Tamaraws73-70ADU Falcons
- FEU Tamaraws64-58ADU Falcons
- ADU Falcons66-68FEU Tamaraws
- ADU Falcons72-76FEU Tamaraws
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FEU Tamaraws 1562 · ADU Falcons 1447
| FEU Tamaraws | ADU Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
147.6 points · Bet365 line 141.5 · +6.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points147.6FEU Tamaraws 76.1 · ADU Falcons 71.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FEU Tamaraws (rating 1562 vs 1447).
- H2H favours FEU Tamaraws: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| FEU Tamaraws | ADU Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.2 / 74.2 | 66.3 / 66.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.4 / 75.4 | 70.4 / 67 |
| Est. result | 76 | 72 |
Est. total147.6
Line O/U141.5
Diff.6.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · FEU Tamaraws 5–0–1 ADU Falcons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Philippines UAAP | FEU Tamaraws | 53-56 | ADU Falcons |
| 08/07/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | ADU Falcons | 63-79 | FEU Tamaraws |
| 02/11/25 Philippines UAAP | FEU Tamaraws | 73-70 | ADU Falcons |
| 05/10/25 Philippines UAAP | FEU Tamaraws | 64-58 | ADU Falcons |
| 20/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | ADU Falcons | 66-68 | FEU Tamaraws |
| 12/10/24 Philippines UAAP | ADU Falcons | 72-76 | FEU Tamaraws |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FEU Tamaraws | ADU Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| NU Bulldogs | 65-69 L | 66-85 L |
| UST Growling Tigers | 69-81 L | 85-57 W |
| Ateneo Blue Eagles | 93-70 W | 68-73 L |
| UP Fighting Maroons | 90-79 W | 67-69 L |
| DLSU Green Archers | 90-78 W | 63-60 W |
| UE Red Warriors | 93-70 W | 71-64 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FEU Tamaraws (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FEU Tamaraws
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
65-69 | L |
| 14/10 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
69-81 | L |
| 10/10 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
93-70 | W |
| 04/10 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
90-79 | W |
| 30/09 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
90-78 | W |
| 26/09 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
93-70 | W |
| 13/09 | ADU Falcons Philippines UAAP |
53-56 | L |
| 26/11 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
81-79 | W |
| 22/11 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
84-77 | W |
| 16/11 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
84-83 | W |
ADU Falcons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
63-60 | W |
| 14/10 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
67-69 | L |
| 11/10 | UE Red Warriors Philippines UAAP |
71-64 | W |
| 07/10 | NU Bulldogs Philippines UAAP |
66-85 | L |
| 03/10 | UST Growling Tigers Philippines UAAP |
85-57 | W |
| 26/09 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
68-73 | L |
| 13/09 | FEU Tamaraws Philippines UAAP |
56-53 | W |
| 23/11 | Ateneo Blue Eagles Philippines UAAP |
61-72 | L |
| 19/11 | DLSU Green Archers Philippines UAAP |
61-60 | W |
| 16/11 | UP Fighting Maroons Philippines UAAP |
65-70 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FEU Tamaraws vs ADU Falcons?
Our model gives 63% to FEU Tamaraws.
How many points are expected in FEU Tamaraws vs ADU Falcons?
The model estimates 147.6 total points (FEU Tamaraws 76.1 · ADU Falcons 71.5).