Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 15/10, 11:00

Prediction: CSJL Knights vs JRU Heavy Bombers

Team pages: CSJL Knights · JRU Heavy Bombers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.5Total

CSJL Knights73.5

JRU Heavy Bombers74.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

CSJL Knights JRU Heavy Bombers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CSJL Knights 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLLW

JRU Heavy Bombers 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CSJL Knights 3–3 JRU Heavy Bombers (6 last)

JRU Heavy Bombers82-73CSJL Knights
JRU Heavy Bombers80-70CSJL Knights
CSJL Knights85-71JRU Heavy Bombers
CSJL Knights69-73JRU Heavy Bombers
JRU Heavy Bombers73-84CSJL Knights
JRU Heavy Bombers66-68CSJL Knights

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSJL Knights 1538 · JRU Heavy Bombers 1587

	CSJL Knights	JRU Heavy Bombers
Our model	56%	44%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 148.5 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.5CSJL Knights 73.5 · JRU Heavy Bombers 74.9

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSJL Knights	JRU Heavy Bombers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.8 / 77.6	68.7 / 64.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.4 / 76.8	70.6 / 57.2
Est. result	74	75

Est. total148.5

Line O/U151.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 5.9 · Est. total: 145.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
15:35 +12’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSJL Knights 3–0–3 JRU Heavy Bombers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Philippines Preseason Cup	JRU Heavy Bombers	82-73	CSJL Knights
18/05/26 Philippines Preseason Cup	JRU Heavy Bombers	80-70	CSJL Knights
08/11/25 Philippines NCAA	CSJL Knights	85-71	JRU Heavy Bombers
03/10/25 Philippines NCAA	CSJL Knights	69-73	JRU Heavy Bombers
16/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup	JRU Heavy Bombers	73-84	CSJL Knights
30/05/24 Philippines Preseason Cup	JRU Heavy Bombers	66-68	CSJL Knights

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSJL Knights	JRU Heavy Bombers
LPU Pirates	96-86 W	94-69 W
SBC Red Lions	65-74 L	9-3 W
AU Chiefs	81-82 L	64-62 W
EAC Generals	91-80 W	84-74 W
SSC-R Stags	99-62 W	102-78 W
Perpetual Altas	84-77 W	74-81 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSJL Knights

WWLLWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	96-86	W
05/10	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	65-74	L
28/09	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	81-82	L
24/09	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	91-80	W
18/09	SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA	99-62	W
13/09	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	84-77	W
13/12	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	71-83	L
10/12	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	70-89	L
05/12	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	74-70	W
02/12	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	77-73	W

JRU Heavy Bombers

LLLWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/10	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	84-74	W
09/10	SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA	102-78	W
06/10	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	64-62	W
29/09	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	94-69	W
26/09	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	9-3	W
22/09	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	73-69	W
14/09	MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA	65-64	W
27/11	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	74-81	L
18/11	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	66-76	L
15/11	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	56-65	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSJL Knights vs JRU Heavy Bombers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CSJL Knights 46% · JRU Heavy Bombers 54%).

How many points are expected in CSJL Knights vs JRU Heavy Bombers?

The model estimates 148.5 total points (CSJL Knights 73.5 · JRU Heavy Bombers 74.9).