Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 13/10, 09:00
Prediction: LPU Pirates vs Perpetual Altas
Team pages: LPU Pirates · Perpetual Altas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.6Total
LPU Pirates74.5
Perpetual Altas78.1
1X2
LPU Pirates
Perpetual Altas
Recent form · 10 last
LPU Pirates
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Perpetual Altas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LPU Pirates
1–5
Perpetual Altas
(6 last)
- Perpetual Altas68-64LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates57-72Perpetual Altas
- LPU Pirates61-73Perpetual Altas
- LPU Pirates72-76Perpetual Altas
- Perpetual Altas81-80LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates76-73Perpetual Altas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LPU Pirates 1419 · Perpetual Altas 1485
| LPU Pirates | Perpetual Altas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 37% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.6 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.6LPU Pirates 74.5 · Perpetual Altas 78.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perpetual Altas (rating 1419 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Perpetual Altas: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| LPU Pirates | Perpetual Altas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.8 / 84.7 | 76.4 / 77 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.2 / 89.8 | 75.2 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 75 | 78 |
Est. total152.6
Line O/U155.5
Diff.2.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · LPU Pirates 1–0–5 Perpetual Altas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | Perpetual Altas | 68-64 | LPU Pirates |
| 23/11/25 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 57-72 | Perpetual Altas |
| 05/10/25 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 61-73 | Perpetual Altas |
| 31/05/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 72-76 | Perpetual Altas |
| 12/11/23 Philippines NCAA | Perpetual Altas | 81-80 | LPU Pirates |
| 30/09/23 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 76-73 | Perpetual Altas |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LPU Pirates | Perpetual Altas |
|---|---|---|
| CSJL Knights | 86-96 L | 77-84 L |
| EAC Generals | 79-89 L | 83-72 W |
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 69-94 L | 81-74 W |
| SBC Red Lions | 74-83 L | 63-71 L |
| CSB Blazers | 82-98 L | 79-81 L |
| SSC-R Stags | 70-63 W | 86-74 W |
| AU Chiefs | 56-74 L | 65-88 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Perpetual Altas (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LPU Pirates
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
86-96 | L |
| 02/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
79-89 | L |
| 29/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
69-94 | L |
| 24/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
74-83 | L |
| 21/09 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
88-87 | W |
| 17/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
82-98 | L |
| 27/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
67-91 | L |
| 25/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
70-63 | W |
| 23/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
57-72 | L |
| 19/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
56-74 | L |
Perpetual Altas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
63-71 | L |
| 01/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
79-81 | L |
| 25/09 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
65-88 | L |
| 21/09 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
86-74 | W |
| 17/09 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
83-72 | W |
| 13/09 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
77-84 | L |
| 13/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
87-75 | W |
| 05/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
70-74 | L |
| 02/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
73-77 | L |
| 27/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
81-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LPU Pirates vs Perpetual Altas?
Our model gives 60% to Perpetual Altas.
How many points are expected in LPU Pirates vs Perpetual Altas?
The model estimates 152.6 total points (LPU Pirates 74.5 · Perpetual Altas 78.1).