Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 13/10, 11:00

Prediction: AU Chiefs vs SBC Red Lions

Team pages: AU Chiefs · SBC Red Lions

Prediction summary
Estimated points
147Total
AU Chiefs74
SBC Red Lions73
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
53% 47%
AU Chiefs SBC Red Lions

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
AU Chiefs 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWWLLL
SBC Red Lions 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLLWWW
Head-to-head
AU Chiefs 3–3 SBC Red Lions (6 last)
  • AU Chiefs75-76SBC Red Lions
  • AU Chiefs53-76SBC Red Lions
  • AU Chiefs73-70SBC Red Lions
  • SBC Red Lions70-72AU Chiefs
  • AU Chiefs70-73SBC Red Lions
  • AU Chiefs74-72SBC Red Lions
Model analysis
Estimated points147AU Chiefs 74 · SBC Red Lions 73

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

AU ChiefsSBC Red Lions
Points F|A (Last 10)76.7 / 75.469.4 / 62
Points F|A (Last 5)73.8 / 74.657.4 / 49.4
Est. result7473
Est. total147
Line O/U150.5
Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · AU Chiefs 3–0–3 SBC Red Lions

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/06/26
Philippines Preseason Cup
AU Chiefs75-76SBC Red Lions
24/10/25
Philippines NCAA
AU Chiefs53-76SBC Red Lions
23/06/25
Philippines Preseason Cup
AU Chiefs73-70SBC Red Lions
28/09/24
Philippines NCAA
SBC Red Lions70-72AU Chiefs
06/06/24
Philippines Preseason Cup
AU Chiefs70-73SBC Red Lions
27/10/23
Philippines NCAA
AU Chiefs74-72SBC Red Lions

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAU ChiefsSBC Red Lions
CSB Blazers 82-94 L 68-77 L
JRU Heavy Bombers 62-64 L 3-9 L
MU Cardinals 55-69 L 54-55 L
CSJL Knights 82-81 W 74-65 W
Perpetual Altas 88-65 W 71-63 W
SSC-R Stags 98-72 W 85-55 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SBC Red Lions (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AU Chiefs

WLLWWWWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/10 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
82-94 L
06/10 JRU Heavy Bombers
Philippines NCAA
62-64 L
01/10 MU Cardinals
Philippines NCAA
55-69 L
28/09 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
82-81 W
25/09 Perpetual Altas
Philippines NCAA
88-65 W
22/09 EAC Generals
Philippines NCAA
91-87 W
14/09 SSC-R Stags
Philippines NCAA
98-72 W
28/11 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
69-77 L
26/11 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
78-87 L
21/11 MU Cardinals
Philippines NCAA
62-58 W

SBC Red Lions

WWWLWLLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
08/10 Perpetual Altas
Philippines NCAA
71-63 W
05/10 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
74-65 W
02/10 SSC-R Stags
Philippines NCAA
85-55 W
28/09 MU Cardinals
Philippines NCAA
54-55 L
26/09 JRU Heavy Bombers
Philippines NCAA
3-9 L
24/09 LPU Pirates
Philippines NCAA
83-74 W
13/09 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
68-77 L
13/12 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
83-71 W
10/12 CSJL Knights
Philippines NCAA
89-70 W
07/12 CSB Blazers
Philippines NCAA
84-81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AU Chiefs vs SBC Red Lions?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (AU Chiefs 53% · SBC Red Lions 47%).

How many points are expected in AU Chiefs vs SBC Red Lions?

The model estimates 147 total points (AU Chiefs 74 · SBC Red Lions 73).