Basketball · Philippines UAAP · 10/10, 09:00

Prediction: UST Growling Tigers vs NU Bulldogs

Team pages: UST Growling Tigers · NU Bulldogs

Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.8Total
UST Growling Tigers79.4
NU Bulldogs78.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
53% 47%
UST Growling Tigers NU Bulldogs

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
UST Growling Tigers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLWWL
NU Bulldogs 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWWLW
Head-to-head
UST Growling Tigers 2–4 NU Bulldogs (6 last)
  • NU Bulldogs90-74UST Growling Tigers
  • NU Bulldogs71-80UST Growling Tigers
  • UST Growling Tigers69-76NU Bulldogs
  • NU Bulldogs96-84UST Growling Tigers
  • UST Growling Tigers75-71NU Bulldogs
  • NU Bulldogs67-62UST Growling Tigers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UST Growling Tigers 1517 · NU Bulldogs 1525
UST Growling TigersNU Bulldogs
Our model62%38%
Market51%49%
Estimated total (ours) 157.8 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points157.8UST Growling Tigers 79.4 · NU Bulldogs 78.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours NU Bulldogs: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UST Growling TigersNU Bulldogs
Points F|A (Last 10)82.4 / 81.877 / 74.5
Points F|A (Last 5)80.2 / 84.279.2 / 72.4
Est. result7978
Est. total157.8
Line O/U153.5
Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · UST Growling Tigers 2–0–4 NU Bulldogs

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
18/06/26
Philippines Preseason Cup
NU Bulldogs90-74UST Growling Tigers
23/11/25
Philippines UAAP
NU Bulldogs71-80UST Growling Tigers
01/10/25
Philippines UAAP
UST Growling Tigers69-76NU Bulldogs
13/07/25
Philippines Preseason Cup
NU Bulldogs96-84UST Growling Tigers
22/05/25
Philippines Preseason Cup
UST Growling Tigers75-71NU Bulldogs
06/11/24
Philippines UAAP
NU Bulldogs67-62UST Growling Tigers

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUST Growling TigersNU Bulldogs
ADU Falcons 57-85 L 85-66 W
UE Red Warriors 98-87 W 76-56 W
DLSU Green Archers 80-75 W 87-89 L
UP Fighting Maroons 85-92 L 72-64 W
FEU Tamaraws 79-81 L 70-64 W
Ateneo Blue Eagles 67-59 W 76-87 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NU Bulldogs (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UST Growling Tigers

LWWWLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
03/10 ADU Falcons
Philippines UAAP
57-85 L
30/09 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
98-87 W
16/09 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
80-75 W
13/09 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
85-92 L
03/12 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
81-82 L
26/11 FEU Tamaraws
Philippines UAAP
79-81 L
23/11 NU Bulldogs
Philippines UAAP
80-71 W
15/11 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Philippines UAAP
67-59 W
12/11 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
109-97 W
05/11 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
88-89 L

NU Bulldogs

WWLLLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
07/10 ADU Falcons
Philippines UAAP
85-66 W
03/10 Ateneo Blue Eagles
Philippines UAAP
76-87 L
26/09 UP Fighting Maroons
Philippines UAAP
72-64 W
19/09 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
76-56 W
13/09 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
87-89 L
06/12 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
73-78 L
03/12 DLSU Green Archers
Philippines UAAP
77-87 L
23/11 UST Growling Tigers
Philippines UAAP
71-80 L
15/11 UE Red Warriors
Philippines UAAP
83-74 W
12/11 FEU Tamaraws
Philippines UAAP
70-64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UST Growling Tigers vs NU Bulldogs?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (UST Growling Tigers 53% · NU Bulldogs 47%).

How many points are expected in UST Growling Tigers vs NU Bulldogs?

The model estimates 157.8 total points (UST Growling Tigers 79.4 · NU Bulldogs 78.4).