Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 09/10, 20:00
Prediction: CETYS Mexicali vs Tec Mty Toluca
Team pages: Tec Mty Toluca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.6Total
CETYS Mexicali73.1
Tec Mty Toluca78.5
1X2
CETYS Mexicali
Tec Mty Toluca
Recent form · 10 last
CETYS Mexicali
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Tec Mty Toluca
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CETYS Mexicali
2–3
Tec Mty Toluca
(5 last)
- Tec Mty Toluca75-57CETYS Mexicali
- Tec Mty Toluca83-51CETYS Mexicali
- Tec Mty Toluca80-71CETYS Mexicali
- Tec Mty Toluca91-95CETYS Mexicali
- CETYS Mexicali84-64Tec Mty Toluca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CETYS Mexicali 1443 · Tec Mty Toluca 1567
| CETYS Mexicali | Tec Mty Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.6 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +2.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.6CETYS Mexicali 73.1 · Tec Mty Toluca 78.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tec Mty Toluca (rating 1443 vs 1567).
- Tec Mty Toluca is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Tec Mty Toluca: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CETYS Mexicali | Tec Mty Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 67.3 / 74.5 | 83.9 / 81.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 66 / 72 | 78.6 / 81 |
| Est. result | 73 | 79 |
Est. total151.6
Line O/U149.5
Diff.2.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CETYS Mexicali 2–0–3 Tec Mty Toluca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 75-57 | CETYS Mexicali |
| 30/11/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 83-51 | CETYS Mexicali |
| 13/04/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 80-71 | CETYS Mexicali |
| 05/03/23 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Toluca | 91-95 | CETYS Mexicali |
| 20/10/22 Mexico Liga ABE | CETYS Mexicali | 84-64 | Tec Mty Toluca |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CETYS Mexicali | Tec Mty Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Montrer | 54-58 L | 77-61 W |
| Anahuac Queretaro | 74-83 L | 93-115 L |
| Universidad Interamericana | 70-65 W | 90-88 W |
| UPAEP | 74-95 L | 68-60 W |
| Tec Mty Monterrey | 52-62 L | 56-78 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CETYS Mexicali (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CETYS Mexicali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
54-58 | L |
| 02/10 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
74-83 | L |
| 26/09 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
58-59 | L |
| 19/09 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
70-65 | W |
| 19/09 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
74-95 | L |
| 12/04 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
52-62 | L |
| 11/04 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
65-93 | L |
| 21/03 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
74-80 | L |
| 20/03 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
75-82 | L |
| 13/03 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
77-68 | W |
Tec Mty Toluca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
88-77 | W |
| 26/09 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
77-61 | W |
| 26/09 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
93-115 | L |
| 20/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
79-74 | W |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
56-78 | L |
| 03/05 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
68-60 | W |
| 30/04 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
88-87 | W |
| 28/04 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
90-88 | W |
| 19/04 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
93-89 | W |
| 18/04 | Tec Mty Hidalgo Mexico Liga ABE |
107-90 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CETYS Mexicali vs Tec Mty Toluca?
Our model gives 65% to Tec Mty Toluca.
How many points are expected in CETYS Mexicali vs Tec Mty Toluca?
The model estimates 151.6 total points (CETYS Mexicali 73.1 · Tec Mty Toluca 78.5).