Basketball · Hong Kong BL · 09/10, 14:40
Prediction: South China vs Chun Yu BC
Team pages: South China
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.7Total
South China85.3
Chun Yu BC69.5
1X2
South China
Chun Yu BC
Recent form · 10 last
South China
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Chun Yu BC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South China
3–0
Chun Yu BC
(3 last)
- South China98-73Chun Yu BC
- South China109-62Chun Yu BC
- South China91-84Chun Yu BC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South China 1589 · Chun Yu BC 1476
| South China | Chun Yu BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
154.7 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -5.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154.7South China 85.3 · Chun Yu BC 69.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South China (rating 1589 vs 1476).
- South China is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours South China: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| South China | Chun Yu BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.1 / 74.7 | 73.5 / 76.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.2 / 72.4 | 78.6 / 76.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 70 |
Est. total154.7
Line O/U160.5
Diff.5.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · South China 3–0–0 Chun Yu BC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/25 Hong Kong BL | South China | 98-73 | Chun Yu BC |
| 10/01/25 Hong Kong BL | South China | 109-62 | Chun Yu BC |
| 24/01/24 Hong Kong BL | South China | 91-84 | Chun Yu BC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South China | Chun Yu BC |
|---|---|---|
| Eagle | 80-77 W | 54-65 L |
| Able Hon Friends | 100-66 W | 86-78 W |
| Hong Kong Eastern | 71-77 L | 87-83 W |
| Tycoon | 59-74 L | 89-104 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: South China (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South China
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Eagle Hong Kong BL |
80-77 | W |
| 09/09 | Able Hon Friends Hong Kong BL |
100-66 | W |
| 05/03 | Winling Hong Kong BL |
74-65 | W |
| 26/02 | Winling Hong Kong BL |
91-77 | W |
| 24/02 | Hong Kong Eastern Hong Kong BL |
71-77 | L |
| 12/02 | Hong Kong Eastern Hong Kong BL |
63-94 | L |
| 05/02 | Eagle Hong Kong BL |
88-68 | W |
| 28/01 | Tycoon Hong Kong BL |
59-74 | L |
| 23/01 | Hong Kong Eastern Hong Kong BL |
71-66 | W |
| 14/01 | Winling Hong Kong BL |
94-83 | W |
Chun Yu BC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Hong Kong Eastern Hong Kong BL |
87-83 | W |
| 08/09 | Happy Valley Hoopers Hong Kong BL |
79-89 | L |
| 10/03 | Chi Lik Hong Kong BL |
83-62 | W |
| 04/03 | Able Hon Friends Hong Kong BL |
86-78 | W |
| 11/02 | Fukien Hong Kong BL |
58-69 | L |
| 03/02 | Able Hon Friends Hong Kong BL |
61-62 | L |
| 27/01 | Eagle Hong Kong BL |
54-65 | L |
| 20/01 | Chun Lung WTS Hong Kong BL |
71-66 | W |
| 15/01 | Tycoon Hong Kong BL |
89-104 | L |
| 13/01 | Hong Kong Eastern Hong Kong BL |
67-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South China vs Chun Yu BC?
Our model gives 87% to South China.
How many points are expected in South China vs Chun Yu BC?
The model estimates 154.7 total points (South China 85.3 · Chun Yu BC 69.5).