Basketball · Paraguay Primera · 13/10, 01:00
Prediction: Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay
Team pages: Deportivo San Jose · Amambay
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.9Total
Deportivo San Jose86.6
Amambay74.3
1X2
Deportivo San Jose
Amambay
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo San Jose
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Amambay
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo San Jose
6–0
Amambay
(6 last)
- Amambay78-83Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose90-71Amambay
- Amambay69-71Deportivo San Jose
- Amambay85-95Deportivo San Jose
- Deportivo San Jose81-74Amambay
- Amambay50-93Deportivo San Jose
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo San Jose 1649 · Amambay 1516
| Deportivo San Jose | Amambay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.9 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.9Deportivo San Jose 86.6 · Amambay 74.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo San Jose (rating 1649 vs 1516).
- Deportivo San Jose is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo San Jose: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Deportivo San Jose | Amambay | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.7 / 70.5 | 85.7 / 75.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.4 / 68.6 | 88.6 / 72.6 |
| Est. result | 87 | 74 |
Est. total160.9
Line O/U159.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo San Jose 6–0–0 Amambay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 78-83 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 09/09/26 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 90-71 | Amambay |
| 11/08/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 69-71 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 29/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 85-95 | Deportivo San Jose |
| 02/05/26 Paraguay Primera | Deportivo San Jose | 81-74 | Amambay |
| 19/09/25 Paraguay Primera | Amambay | 50-93 | Deportivo San Jose |
Standings · Paraguay Primera · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo San Jose | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1295 | 1036 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia Kings | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1275 | 982 | 25 |
| 3 | Colonias Gold | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1177 | 978 | 24 |
| 4 | Amambay | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1090 | 915 | 21 |
| 5 | Deportivo Campoalto | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1121 | 1284 | 19 |
| 6 | Felix Perez Cardozo | 13 | 5 | 8 | 979 | 1122 | 18 |
| 7 | San Alfonzo | 14 | 2 | 12 | 1055 | 1279 | 16 |
| 8 | Capiata Bulls | 14 | 0 | 14 | 941 | 1337 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo San Jose | Amambay |
|---|---|---|
| Capiata Bulls | 101-68 W | 114-75 W |
| San Alfonzo | 76-59 W | 101-67 W |
| Olimpia Kings | 67-65 W | 76-79 L |
| Felix Perez Cardozo | 90-73 W | 81-60 W |
| Colonias Gold | 98-87 W | 85-70 W |
| Deportivo Campoalto | 113-75 W | 98-83 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Amambay (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Amambay Paraguay Primera |
83-78 | W |
| 25/09 | Capiata Bulls Paraguay Primera |
101-68 | W |
| 22/09 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
76-59 | W |
| 19/09 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
67-65 | W |
| 15/09 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
90-73 | W |
| 12/09 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
98-87 | W |
| 09/09 | Amambay Paraguay Primera |
90-71 | W |
| 04/09 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
113-75 | W |
| 02/09 | Capiata Bulls Paraguay Primera |
93-76 | W |
| 25/08 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
96-53 | W |
Amambay
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Deportivo San Jose Paraguay Primera |
78-83 | L |
| 25/09 | Felix Perez Cardozo Paraguay Primera |
81-60 | W |
| 22/09 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
85-70 | W |
| 18/09 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
101-67 | W |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Campoalto Paraguay Primera |
98-83 | W |
| 11/09 | Capiata Bulls Paraguay Primera |
114-75 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Jose Paraguay Primera |
71-90 | L |
| 04/09 | Olimpia Kings Paraguay Primera |
76-79 | L |
| 24/08 | Colonias Gold Paraguay Primera |
72-80 | L |
| 21/08 | San Alfonzo Paraguay Primera |
81-67 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay?
Our model gives 81% to Deportivo San Jose.
How many points are expected in Deportivo San Jose vs Amambay?
The model estimates 160.9 total points (Deportivo San Jose 86.6 · Amambay 74.3).