Basketball · Chile LNB · 02/10, 01:00

Prediction: CSD Colo Colo vs CD Espanol Talca

Team pages: CSD Colo Colo · CD Espanol Talca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.8Total

CSD Colo Colo82.6

CD Espanol Talca71.3

1X2

79% 21%

CSD Colo Colo CD Espanol Talca

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Colo Colo 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

CD Espanol Talca 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

CSD Colo Colo 4–2 CD Espanol Talca (6 last)

CD Espanol Talca74-81CSD Colo Colo
CD Espanol Talca80-67CSD Colo Colo
CSD Colo Colo90-71CD Espanol Talca
CSD Colo Colo79-66CD Espanol Talca
CD Espanol Talca66-74CSD Colo Colo
CD Espanol Talca78-64CSD Colo Colo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Colo Colo 1440 · CD Espanol Talca 1387

	CSD Colo Colo	CD Espanol Talca
Our model	69%	31%
Market	81%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 153.8 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.8CSD Colo Colo 82.6 · CD Espanol Talca 71.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Colo Colo (rating 1440 vs 1387).
CSD Colo Colo is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours CSD Colo Colo: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSD Colo Colo	CD Espanol Talca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73 / 80.6	76 / 88.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.8 / 81.2	73.6 / 85
Est. result	83	71

Est. total153.8

Line O/U156.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 156.51.83

Under 156.51.83

Diff.: 2.4 · Est. total: 158.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
19:29 +22’	1.14	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Colo Colo 4–0–2 CD Espanol Talca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	74-81	CSD Colo Colo
03/08/26 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	80-67	CSD Colo Colo
13/07/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	90-71	CD Espanol Talca
20/04/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	79-66	CD Espanol Talca
30/03/26 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	66-74	CSD Colo Colo
26/10/25 Chile LNB	CD Espanol Talca	78-64	CSD Colo Colo

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Las Animas	5	4	1	404	364	9
2	CD Castro	5	3	2	413	392	8
3	Universidad Catolica	3	2	1	227	250	5
4	CSD Colo Colo	3	1	2	238	246	4
5	CD Espanol Talca	4	0	4	299	329	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Colo Colo	CD Espanol Talca
CD Castro	82-92 L	78-86 L
Las Animas	75-80 L	77-81 L
Puente Alto	72-85 L	79-104 L
CDU Concepcion	72-93 L	80-103 L
Colegio Los Leones	60-61 L	69-96 L
Universidad Catolica	70-81 L	70-81 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Colo Colo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Colo Colo

LLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	CD Castro Chile LNB	82-92	L
23/09	Las Animas Chile LNB	75-80	L
13/09	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	81-74	W
06/09	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	84-86	L
03/09	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	67-74	L
14/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	72-85	L
09/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	72-93	L
06/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	60-61	L
03/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	67-80	L
31/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	70-81	L

CD Espanol Talca

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Las Animas Chile LNB	77-81	L
23/09	CD Castro Chile LNB	78-86	L
15/09	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	70-81	L
13/09	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	74-81	L
17/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	69-96	L
15/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	80-103	L
10/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	79-104	L
07/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	73-84	L
03/08	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	80-67	W
01/08	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	80-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Colo Colo vs CD Espanol Talca?

Our model gives 79% to CSD Colo Colo.

How many points are expected in CSD Colo Colo vs CD Espanol Talca?

The model estimates 153.8 total points (CSD Colo Colo 82.6 · CD Espanol Talca 71.3).