Basketball · Georgia Super League · 09/10, 17:30
Prediction: Rustavi vs BC Telavi
Team pages: Rustavi
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.1Total
Rustavi86.4
BC Telavi80.7
1X2
Rustavi
BC Telavi
Recent form · 10 last
Rustavi
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
BC Telavi
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rustavi
1–1–4
BC Telavi
(6 last)
- Rustavi74-78BC Telavi
- BC Telavi91-62Rustavi
- Rustavi87-87BC Telavi
- BC Telavi96-85Rustavi
- BC Telavi75-96Rustavi
- Rustavi63-79BC Telavi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rustavi 1496 · BC Telavi 1419
| Rustavi | BC Telavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.1 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.1Rustavi 86.4 · BC Telavi 80.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rustavi (rating 1496 vs 1419).
- Rustavi is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours BC Telavi: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Rustavi | BC Telavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.6 / 79.7 | 80.1 / 87.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91 / 77.8 | 82.4 / 88.8 |
| Est. result | 86 | 81 |
Est. total167.1
Line O/U167.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rustavi 1–1–4 BC Telavi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 Georgia Super League | Rustavi | 74-78 | BC Telavi |
| 24/03/26 Georgia Cup | BC Telavi | 91-62 | Rustavi |
| 03/02/26 Georgia Cup | Rustavi | 87-87 | BC Telavi |
| 09/01/26 Georgia SK Cup | BC Telavi | 96-85 | Rustavi |
| 16/12/25 Georgia Super League | BC Telavi | 75-96 | Rustavi |
| 28/09/25 Club Friendlies | Rustavi | 63-79 | BC Telavi |
Standings · Georgia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIU Basketball Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 149 | 4 |
| 2 | Batumi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 77 | 2 |
| 3 | Kutaisi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 177 | 2 |
| 4 | TSU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 77 | 2 |
| 5 | Margveti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 84 | 2 |
| 6 | Orbi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 81 | 2 |
| 7 | BC Telavi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 87 | 1 |
| 8 | Iverion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 91 | 1 |
| 9 | Rustavi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 88 | 1 |
| 10 | Black Fortress | 1 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 108 | 1 |
| 11 | BC Akhaltsikhe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rustavi | BC Telavi |
|---|---|---|
| TSU | 77-88 L | 94-81 W |
| Orbi | 86-89 L | 81-87 L |
| Margveti | 87-97 L | 69-81 L |
| Kavkasia | 69-67 W | 72-89 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rustavi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rustavi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | TSU Georgia Super League |
77-88 | L |
| 29/04 | Griffin Georgia Super League |
89-77 | W |
| 27/04 | Griffin Georgia Super League |
88-90 | L |
| 24/04 | Griffin Georgia Super League |
93-62 | W |
| 22/04 | Griffin Georgia Super League |
108-72 | W |
| 19/04 | Orbi Georgia Super League |
86-89 | L |
| 16/04 | Batumi Georgia Super League |
75-77 | L |
| 05/04 | Margveti Georgia Super League |
87-97 | L |
| 31/03 | BC Telavi Georgia Super League |
74-78 | L |
| 28/03 | Kavkasia Georgia Super League |
69-67 | W |
BC Telavi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Orbi Georgia Super League |
81-87 | L |
| 29/04 | Kutaisi Georgia Super League |
78-92 | L |
| 26/04 | Kutaisi Georgia Super League |
80-88 | L |
| 24/04 | Kutaisi Georgia Super League |
79-96 | L |
| 18/04 | TSU Georgia Super League |
94-81 | W |
| 15/04 | Margveti Georgia Super League |
69-81 | L |
| 03/04 | Kutaisi Georgia Super League |
96-104 | L |
| 31/03 | Rustavi Georgia Super League |
78-74 | W |
| 27/03 | Orbi Georgia Super League |
74-84 | L |
| 11/03 | Kavkasia Georgia Super League |
72-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rustavi vs BC Telavi?
Our model gives 66% to Rustavi.
How many points are expected in Rustavi vs BC Telavi?
The model estimates 167.1 total points (Rustavi 86.4 · BC Telavi 80.7).