Basketball · Colombia Liga · 24/10, 03:30
Prediction: Sabios de Manizales vs Toros del Valle
Team pages: Sabios de Manizales · Toros del Valle
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.6Total
Sabios de Manizales67.9
Toros del Valle83.7
1X2
Sabios de Manizales
Toros del Valle
Recent form · 10 last
Sabios de Manizales
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Toros del Valle
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sabios de Manizales
0–6
Toros del Valle
(6 last)
- Toros del Valle89-40Sabios de Manizales
- Toros del Valle108-59Sabios de Manizales
- Toros del Valle58-46Sabios de Manizales
- Toros del Valle78-62Sabios de Manizales
- Sabios de Manizales70-84Toros del Valle
- Sabios de Manizales77-79Toros del Valle
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabios de Manizales 1425 · Toros del Valle 1607
| Sabios de Manizales | Toros del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.6 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.6Sabios de Manizales 67.9 · Toros del Valle 83.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toros del Valle (rating 1425 vs 1607).
- Toros del Valle is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Toros del Valle: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sabios de Manizales | Toros del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 63.2 / 84.1 | 93.4 / 67.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69 / 78.6 | 94.2 / 65.4 |
| Est. result | 68 | 84 |
Est. total151.6
Line O/U155.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabios de Manizales 0–0–6 Toros del Valle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Colombia Liga | Toros del Valle | 89-40 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 07/10/26 Colombia Liga | Toros del Valle | 108-59 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 12/04/26 Colombia Liga | Toros del Valle | 58-46 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 11/04/26 Colombia Liga | Toros del Valle | 78-62 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 15/10/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 70-84 | Toros del Valle |
| 14/10/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 77-79 | Toros del Valle |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paisas | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1041 | 819 | 21 |
| 2 | Toros del Valle | 10 | 9 | 1 | 948 | 675 | 19 |
| 3 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 12 | 2 | 10 | 803 | 1089 | 14 |
| 4 | Sabios de Manizales | 10 | 2 | 8 | 632 | 841 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sabios de Manizales | Toros del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Paisas | 48-83 L | 78-74 W |
| Caribbean Storm Islands | 83-62 W | 106-53 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Toros del Valle (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabios de Manizales
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
48-83 | L |
| 20/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
57-88 | L |
| 17/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
83-62 | W |
| 16/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
82-84 | L |
| 12/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
75-76 | L |
| 10/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
82-74 | W |
| 08/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
40-89 | L |
| 07/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
59-108 | L |
| 04/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
63-84 | L |
| 03/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
43-93 | L |
Toros del Valle
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
106-53 | W |
| 20/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
107-71 | W |
| 17/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
78-74 | W |
| 16/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
91-89 | W |
| 08/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
89-40 | W |
| 07/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
108-59 | W |
| 03/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
88-68 | W |
| 03/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
107-50 | W |
| 08/06 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
78-73 | W |
| 07/06 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
82-98 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabios de Manizales vs Toros del Valle?
Our model gives 87% to Toros del Valle.
How many points are expected in Sabios de Manizales vs Toros del Valle?
The model estimates 151.6 total points (Sabios de Manizales 67.9 · Toros del Valle 83.7).