Basketball · Colombia Liga · 03/10, 03:30
Prediction: Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas
Team pages: Sabios de Manizales · Paisas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.5Total
Sabios de Manizales80.3
Paisas84.2
1X2
Sabios de Manizales
Paisas
Markets
Over 158.5 points 68%
Recent form · 10 last
Sabios de Manizales
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Paisas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sabios de Manizales
2–4
Paisas
(6 last)
- Sabios de Manizales80-71Paisas
- Sabios de Manizales68-73Paisas
- Paisas95-85Sabios de Manizales
- Paisas101-70Sabios de Manizales
- Sabios de Manizales73-88Paisas
- Sabios de Manizales81-77Paisas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabios de Manizales 1434 · Paisas 1552
| Sabios de Manizales | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.5 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.5Sabios de Manizales 80.3 · Paisas 84.2
Over / Under 158.5Over · 68%recent trend · ~165.3 pts · strength 7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paisas (rating 1434 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Paisas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sabios de Manizales | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.3 / 86.5 | 87 / 81.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82 / 96.2 | 82 / 76.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 84 |
Est. total164.5
Line O/U158.5
Diff.6
Over / Under68% / 32%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabios de Manizales 2–0–4 Paisas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 80-71 | Paisas |
| 15/04/26 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 68-73 | Paisas |
| 05/11/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 95-85 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 03/11/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 101-70 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 31/05/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 73-88 | Paisas |
| 31/05/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 81-77 | Paisas |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paisas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 255 | 157 | 6 |
| 2 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 164 | 269 | 3 |
| 3 | Toros del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 50 | 2 |
| 4 | Sabios de Manizales | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 93 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sabios de Manizales | Paisas |
|---|---|---|
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | 56-79 L | 105-97 W |
| Cimarrones | 60-51 W | 86-79 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabios de Manizales
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
56-79 | L |
| 16/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
91-99 | L |
| 15/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
70-107 | L |
| 12/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
99-107 | L |
| 10/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-89 | W |
| 08/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
100-87 | W |
| 07/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
82-92 | L |
| 03/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
60-51 | W |
| 02/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
52-60 | L |
| 28/04 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
79-94 | L |
Paisas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
77-57 | W |
| 29/09 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
85-57 | W |
| 08/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
73-78 | L |
| 07/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
98-82 | W |
| 04/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
77-110 | L |
| 03/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
101-102 | L |
| 26/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
105-97 | W |
| 23/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
88-81 | W |
| 22/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
80-75 | W |
| 09/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
86-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas?
Our model gives 61% to Paisas.
How many points are expected in Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas?
The model estimates 164.5 total points (Sabios de Manizales 80.3 · Paisas 84.2).
Over or under 158.5 points?
Recent history points to over 158.5 points (68%).