Basketball · Colombia Liga · 01/10, 03:30

Prediction: Motilones Del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota

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Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.7Total
Motilones Del Norte84.1
Piratas de Bogota81.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Motilones Del Norte Piratas de Bogota

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Over 153.5 points 75%
Recent form · 10 last
Motilones Del Norte 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWWLW
Piratas de Bogota 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLWLLL
Head-to-head
Motilones Del Norte 3–3 Piratas de Bogota (6 last)
  • Motilones Del Norte67-82Piratas de Bogota
  • Motilones Del Norte72-77Piratas de Bogota
  • Motilones Del Norte74-61Piratas de Bogota
  • Motilones Del Norte73-59Piratas de Bogota
  • Piratas de Bogota74-76Motilones Del Norte
  • Piratas de Bogota92-73Motilones Del Norte
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Motilones Del Norte 1453 · Piratas de Bogota 1484
Motilones Del NortePiratas de Bogota
Our model58%42%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 165.7 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +12.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points165.7Motilones Del Norte 84.1 · Piratas de Bogota 81.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Motilones Del NortePiratas de Bogota
Points F|A (Last 10)86.2 / 90.575.4 / 83.9
Points F|A (Last 5)87 / 89.279 / 86.6
Est. result8482
Est. total165.7
Line O/U153.5
Diff.12.2
Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Motilones Del Norte 3–0–3 Piratas de Bogota

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Colombia Liga
Motilones Del Norte67-82Piratas de Bogota
17/04/26
Colombia Liga
Motilones Del Norte72-77Piratas de Bogota
30/05/25
Colombia Liga
Motilones Del Norte74-61Piratas de Bogota
29/05/25
Colombia Liga
Motilones Del Norte73-59Piratas de Bogota
17/05/25
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota74-76Motilones Del Norte
16/05/25
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota92-73Motilones Del Norte

Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Caimanes del Villavicencio 000 000
1 Capitanes de Bogota 000 000
1 Motilones Del Norte 000 000
1 Piratas de Bogota 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Motilones Del Norte

LWLLLLWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
12/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
107-99 W
10/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
89-94 L
08/05 Caribbean Storm Islands
Colombia Liga
103-96 W
07/05 Caribbean Storm Islands
Colombia Liga
80-71 W
30/04 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
56-86 L
29/04 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
74-98 L
26/04 Paisas
Colombia Liga
78-81 L
25/04 Paisas
Colombia Liga
86-91 L
22/04 Caimanes del Villavicencio
Colombia Liga
103-100 W
21/04 Caimanes del Villavicencio
Colombia Liga
86-89 L

Piratas de Bogota

LLWWLLWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
86-91 L
24/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
81-90 L
24/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
72-102 L
21/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
94-78 W
19/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
62-72 L
17/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
63-71 L
16/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
84-75 W
15/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
93-87 W
10/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
67-92 L
09/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
52-81 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Motilones Del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Motilones Del Norte 57% · Piratas de Bogota 43%).

How many points are expected in Motilones Del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota?

The model estimates 165.7 total points (Motilones Del Norte 84.1 · Piratas de Bogota 81.6).