Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Cibona vs Zabok
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.2Total
Cibona88.2
Zabok71
1X2
Cibona
Zabok
Recent form · 10 last
Cibona
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Zabok
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cibona
4–2
Zabok
(6 last)
- Cibona66-64Zabok
- Cibona90-70Zabok
- Cibona95-85Zabok
- Zabok89-87Cibona
- Zabok90-80Cibona
- Cibona90-85Zabok
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cibona 1613 · Zabok 1397
| Cibona | Zabok | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 85% | 15% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.2 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.2Cibona 88.2 · Zabok 71
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibona (rating 1613 vs 1397).
- Cibona is a clear favourite (89% market).
- H2H favours Cibona: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cibona | Zabok | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.2 / 79.6 | 75.9 / 81.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.2 / 79.8 | 80.2 / 84.4 |
| Est. result | 88 | 71 |
Est. total159.2
Line O/U159.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cibona 4–0–2 Zabok
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Cibona | 66-64 | Zabok |
| 07/03/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Cibona | 90-70 | Zabok |
| 18/12/25 Croatia Cup | Cibona | 95-85 | Zabok |
| 14/12/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Zabok | 89-87 | Cibona |
| 12/03/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Zabok | 90-80 | Cibona |
| 22/01/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Cibona | 90-85 | Zabok |
Standings · Croatia A1 Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 59 | 2 |
| 2 | Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 66 | 2 |
| 3 | Skrljevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 72 | 2 |
| 4 | Cibona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 78 | 2 |
| 5 | Cedevita Junior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 93 | 2 |
| 6 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 78 | 2 |
| 7 | Zabok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 80 | 1 |
| 8 | Kvarner 2010 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 96 | 1 |
| 9 | Alkar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 84 | 1 |
| 10 | Furnir Dubrava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 81 | 1 |
| 11 | KK Dubrovnik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 81 | 1 |
| 12 | Samobor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 81 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cibona | Zabok |
|---|---|---|
| Zadar | 82-75 W | 77-79 L |
| Split | 78-76 W | 93-99 L |
| Furnir Dubrava | 92-87 W | 75-63 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cibona (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cibona
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alkar Croatia A1 Liga |
84-78 | W |
| 10/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
82-75 | W |
| 07/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
73-67 | W |
| 05/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
70-87 | L |
| 02/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
57-92 | L |
| 31/05 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
74-72 | W |
| 28/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
78-76 | W |
| 25/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
78-83 | L |
| 22/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
84-79 | W |
| 19/05 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
92-87 | W |
Zabok
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
78-80 | L |
| 17/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
93-99 | L |
| 13/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
80-86 | L |
| 09/05 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
75-63 | W |
| 03/05 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
75-94 | L |
| 25/04 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
65-76 | L |
| 19/04 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
77-79 | L |
| 15/04 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
74-90 | L |
| 11/04 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
64-66 | L |
| 04/04 | GKK Sibenik Croatia A1 Liga |
78-84 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cibona vs Zabok?
Our model gives 89% to Cibona.
How many points are expected in Cibona vs Zabok?
The model estimates 159.2 total points (Cibona 88.2 · Zabok 71).