Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 14/11, 13:10
Prediction: Alytaus Patriotai vs Mazeikiai
Team pages: Alytaus Patriotai · Mazeikiai
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.7Total
Alytaus Patriotai89.7
Mazeikiai78
1X2
Alytaus Patriotai
Mazeikiai
Recent form · 10 last
Alytaus Patriotai
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Mazeikiai
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
Estimated points167.7Alytaus Patriotai 89.7 · Mazeikiai 78
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alytaus Patriotai (rating 1550 vs 1404).
- Alytaus Patriotai is a clear favourite (80% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Alytaus Patriotai | Mazeikiai | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 81.2 | 77.6 / 90.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.4 / 76.6 | 81.6 / 94 |
| Est. result | 90 | 78 |
Est. total167.7
Line O/U166
Diff.1.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Lithuania NKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Telsiai | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1086 | 890 | 0 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas-Karys | 11 | 10 | 1 | 992 | 854 | 0 |
| 3 | Palangos Olimpas | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1155 | 1016 | 0 |
| 4 | Suduva Mantinga | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1009 | 854 | 0 |
| 5 | Vytis | 10 | 7 | 3 | 964 | 896 | 0 |
| 6 | Neptunas 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 938 | 900 | 0 |
| 7 | Silute Silute | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1012 | 986 | 0 |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1021 | 1016 | 0 |
| 9 | Plunges Olimpas | 12 | 7 | 5 | 991 | 946 | 0 |
| 10 | Omega-Tauras | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1080 | 1046 | 0 |
| 11 | Zalgiris 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1130 | 1162 | 0 |
| 12 | Vilkaviskio Perlas | 12 | 5 | 7 | 971 | 1023 | 0 |
| 13 | Kedainiu SC | 12 | 4 | 8 | 924 | 1016 | 0 |
| 14 | Stekas | 12 | 3 | 9 | 933 | 1074 | 0 |
| 15 | Kretinga | 12 | 2 | 10 | 962 | 1072 | 0 |
| 16 | Mazeikiai | 12 | 2 | 10 | 921 | 1064 | 0 |
| 17 | Atletas | 12 | 2 | 10 | 952 | 1111 | 0 |
| 18 | Rytas 2 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 932 | 1047 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alytaus Patriotai | Mazeikiai |
|---|---|---|
| Stekas | 73-58 W | 70-74 L |
| Plunges Olimpas | 87-76 W | 72-80 L |
| Silute Silute | 77-92 L | 79-98 L |
| Vytis | 110-105 W | 77-101 L |
| Atletas | 86-75 W | 97-88 W |
| Suduva Mantinga | 80-87 L | 85-109 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Alytaus Patriotai (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alytaus Patriotai
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Stekas Lithuania NKL |
73-58 | W |
| 05/11 | Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
87-76 | W |
| 31/10 | Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL |
101-91 | W |
| 29/10 | Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
81-84 | L |
| 24/10 | Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL |
85-74 | W |
| 22/10 | Kretinga Lithuania NKL |
90-70 | W |
| 17/10 | Silute Silute Lithuania NKL |
77-92 | L |
| 15/10 | Vytis Lithuania NKL |
110-105 | W |
| 10/10 | Atletas Lithuania NKL |
86-75 | W |
| 08/10 | Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL |
80-87 | L |
Mazeikiai
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Silute Silute Lithuania NKL |
79-98 | L |
| 05/11 | Vytis Lithuania NKL |
77-101 | L |
| 31/10 | Atletas Lithuania NKL |
97-88 | W |
| 29/10 | Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL |
85-109 | L |
| 24/10 | Stekas Lithuania NKL |
70-74 | L |
| 22/10 | Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
72-80 | L |
| 17/10 | Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL |
77-90 | L |
| 15/10 | Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL |
85-92 | L |
| 10/10 | Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL |
62-91 | L |
| 08/10 | Telsiai Lithuania NKL |
72-83 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alytaus Patriotai vs Mazeikiai?
Our model gives 80% to Alytaus Patriotai.
How many points are expected in Alytaus Patriotai vs Mazeikiai?
The model estimates 167.7 total points (Alytaus Patriotai 89.7 · Mazeikiai 78).