Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 05/11, 17:00

Prediction: Mazeikiai vs Vytis

Team pages: Mazeikiai · Vytis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.7Total

Mazeikiai86.9

Vytis89.8

1X2

42% 58%

Mazeikiai Vytis

Recent form · 10 last

Mazeikiai 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Vytis 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Mazeikiai 4–2 Vytis (6 last)

Mazeikiai113-99Vytis
Vytis83-82Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai89-103Vytis
Mazeikiai87-73Vytis
Vytis73-79Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai72-70Vytis

Model analysis

Estimated points176.7Mazeikiai 86.9 · Vytis 89.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vytis (rating 1415 vs 1560).
H2H favours Mazeikiai: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mazeikiai	Vytis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.5 / 86.5	93.2 / 89.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 88.2	96 / 95
Est. result	87	90

Est. total176.7

Line O/U176.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 176.51.83

Under 176.51.83

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 172.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.36 → 2.36	Pinn 2.36
2	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	2
19:36 +13’	2.36	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mazeikiai 4–0–2 Vytis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	113-99	Vytis
19/01/26 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	83-82	Mazeikiai
04/12/25 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	89-103	Vytis
04/04/23 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	87-73	Vytis
01/04/23 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	73-79	Mazeikiai
29/03/23 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	72-70	Vytis

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	882	725
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	9	8	1	793	667
3	Palangos Olimpas	10	8	2	930	806
4	Suduva Mantinga	8	6	2	752	627
5	Silute Silute	8	6	2	667	619
6	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	693	668
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	814	781
8	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	870	824
9	Vytis	7	4	3	658	648
10	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	861	882
11	Vilkaviskio Perlas	9	4	5	733	762
12	Zalgiris 2	10	4	6	957	971
13	Kedainiu SC	10	4	6	768	838
14	Stekas	9	3	6	737	817
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	797	881
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	765	865
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	751	873
18	Atletas	9	0	9	696	870

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mazeikiai	Vytis
Atletas	97-88 W	97-85 W
Stekas	70-74 L	90-89 W
Neptunas 2	77-90 L	88-84 W
Telsiai	72-83 L	88-91 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vytis (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mazeikiai

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	97-88	W
29/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	85-109	L
24/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	70-74	L
22/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	72-80	L
17/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	77-90	L
15/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	85-92	L
10/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	62-91	L
08/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-83	L
03/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	75-72	W
01/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	70-86	L

Vytis

WWWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	88-91	L
29/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	86-97	L
22/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	97-85	W
17/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	104-92	W
15/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	105-110	L
06/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	88-84	W
01/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	90-89	W
28/04	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	86-75	W
25/04	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	87-78	W
23/04	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	101-91	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mazeikiai vs Vytis?

Our model gives 58% to Vytis.

How many points are expected in Mazeikiai vs Vytis?

The model estimates 176.7 total points (Mazeikiai 86.9 · Vytis 89.8).