Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 12/11, 17:00

Prediction: Vytis vs Kretinga

Team pages: Vytis · Kretinga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.9Total

Vytis95.3

Kretinga83.5

1X2

80% 20%

Vytis Kretinga

Recent form · 10 last

Vytis 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Kretinga 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Vytis 4–2 Kretinga (6 last)

Vytis90-85Kretinga
Kretinga69-75Vytis
Vytis103-107Kretinga
Kretinga78-96Vytis
Vytis91-95Kretinga
Vytis84-79Kretinga

Model analysis

Estimated points178.9Vytis 95.3 · Kretinga 83.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vytis (rating 1563 vs 1417).
Vytis is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Vytis: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vytis	Kretinga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	96.4 / 89.6	82.1 / 89.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96 / 87.2	80.8 / 90
Est. result	95	84

Est. total178.9

Line O/U179

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1791.83

Under 1791.84

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 178.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14
2	4.06 → 4.06	Pinn 4.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	2
17:45 +2’	1.14	4.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vytis 4–0–2 Kretinga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	90-85	Kretinga
08/04/26 Lithuania NKL	Kretinga	69-75	Vytis
04/04/26 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	103-107	Kretinga
31/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Kretinga	78-96	Vytis
27/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	91-95	Kretinga
29/01/26 Lithuania NKL	Vytis	84-79	Kretinga

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	12	11	1	1086	890
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	11	10	1	992	854
3	Palangos Olimpas	12	10	2	1155	1016
4	Silute Silute	11	8	3	920	884
5	Suduva Mantinga	11	8	3	1009	854
6	Vytis	10	7	3	964	896
7	Neptunas 2	12	8	4	938	900
8	Alytaus Patriotai	12	7	5	1021	1016
9	Plunges Olimpas	12	7	5	991	946
10	Omega-Tauras	12	6	6	1080	1046
11	Zalgiris 2	12	5	7	1130	1162
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	12	5	7	971	1023
13	Kedainiu SC	12	4	8	924	1016
14	Stekas	12	3	9	933	1074
15	Kretinga	12	2	10	962	1072
16	Mazeikiai	12	2	10	921	1064
17	Atletas	11	1	10	850	1019
18	Rytas 2	12	1	11	932	1047

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vytis	Kretinga
Atletas	97-85 W	84-72 W
Zalgiris 2	104-92 W	85-101 L
Alytaus Patriotai	105-110 L	70-90 L
Stekas	90-89 W	95-99 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vytis (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vytis

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	98-90	W
05/11	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	101-77	W
03/11	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	107-81	W
31/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	88-91	L
29/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	86-97	L
22/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	97-85	W
17/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	104-92	W
15/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	105-110	L
06/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	88-84	W
01/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	90-89	W

Kretinga

LLLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	79-91	L
05/11	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	86-100	L
31/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	75-72	W
29/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	79-86	L
24/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	85-101	L
22/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	70-90	L
17/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	84-72	W
15/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	83-88	L
10/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	95-99	L
08/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	85-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vytis vs Kretinga?

Our model gives 80% to Vytis.

How many points are expected in Vytis vs Kretinga?

The model estimates 178.9 total points (Vytis 95.3 · Kretinga 83.5).