Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 12/11, 17:00

Prediction: Mazeikiai vs Vilkaviskio Perlas

Team pages: Mazeikiai · Vilkaviskio Perlas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.1Total

Mazeikiai82.4

Vilkaviskio Perlas80.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Mazeikiai Vilkaviskio Perlas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Mazeikiai 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Vilkaviskio Perlas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mazeikiai 4–2 Vilkaviskio Perlas (6 last)

Vilkaviskio Perlas91-67Mazeikiai
Vilkaviskio Perlas59-79Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai91-85Vilkaviskio Perlas
Mazeikiai82-64Vilkaviskio Perlas
Vilkaviskio Perlas83-76Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai77-75Vilkaviskio Perlas

Model analysis

Estimated points163.1Mazeikiai 82.4 · Vilkaviskio Perlas 80.6

Match keys

H2H favours Mazeikiai: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mazeikiai	Vilkaviskio Perlas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.6 / 90.6	78.3 / 85.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.6 / 94	77 / 84.8
Est. result	82	81

Est. total163.1

Line O/U163.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.84

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 165.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62
2	1.19 → 1.19	Pinn 1.19

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	2
17:45 +1’	3.62	1.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mazeikiai 4–0–2 Vilkaviskio Perlas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Lithuania NKL	Vilkaviskio Perlas	91-67	Mazeikiai
18/12/25 Lithuania NKL	Vilkaviskio Perlas	59-79	Mazeikiai
16/10/25 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	91-85	Vilkaviskio Perlas
01/12/22 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	82-64	Vilkaviskio Perlas
13/10/22 Lithuania NKL	Vilkaviskio Perlas	83-76	Mazeikiai
26/03/22 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	77-75	Vilkaviskio Perlas

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	12	11	1	1086	890
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	11	10	1	992	854
3	Palangos Olimpas	12	10	2	1155	1016
4	Silute Silute	11	8	3	920	884
5	Suduva Mantinga	11	8	3	1009	854
6	Vytis	10	7	3	964	896
7	Neptunas 2	12	8	4	938	900
8	Alytaus Patriotai	12	7	5	1021	1016
9	Plunges Olimpas	12	7	5	991	946
10	Omega-Tauras	12	6	6	1080	1046
11	Zalgiris 2	12	5	7	1130	1162
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	12	5	7	971	1023
13	Kedainiu SC	12	4	8	924	1016
14	Stekas	12	3	9	933	1074
15	Kretinga	12	2	10	962	1072
16	Mazeikiai	12	2	10	921	1064
17	Atletas	11	1	10	850	1019
18	Rytas 2	12	1	11	932	1047

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mazeikiai	Vilkaviskio Perlas
Silute Silute	79-98 L	81-97 L
Vytis	77-101 L	81-107 L
Atletas	97-88 W	84-76 W
Suduva Mantinga	85-109 L	60-80 L
Stekas	70-74 L	97-74 W
Plunges Olimpas	72-80 L	73-91 L
Telsiai	72-83 L	70-94 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Mazeikiai (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mazeikiai

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	79-98	L
05/11	Vytis Lithuania NKL	77-101	L
31/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	97-88	W
29/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	85-109	L
24/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	70-74	L
22/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	72-80	L
17/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	77-90	L
15/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	85-92	L
10/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	62-91	L
08/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-83	L

Vilkaviskio Perlas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	60-80	L
05/11	Stekas Lithuania NKL	97-74	W
03/11	Vytis Lithuania NKL	81-107	L
31/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	73-91	L
29/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	74-72	W
24/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	81-87	L
22/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	82-73	W
17/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	70-94	L
15/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	81-97	L
08/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	84-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mazeikiai vs Vilkaviskio Perlas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Mazeikiai 55% · Vilkaviskio Perlas 45%).

How many points are expected in Mazeikiai vs Vilkaviskio Perlas?

The model estimates 163.1 total points (Mazeikiai 82.4 · Vilkaviskio Perlas 80.6).