Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 05/11, 17:00

Prediction: Neptunas 2 vs Suduva Mantinga

Team pages: Neptunas 2 · Suduva Mantinga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.7Total

Neptunas 278.6

Suduva Mantinga76.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Neptunas 2 Suduva Mantinga

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Neptunas 2 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWWW

Suduva Mantinga 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Neptunas 2 2–4 Suduva Mantinga (6 last)

Suduva Mantinga76-68Neptunas 2
Neptunas 279-71Suduva Mantinga
Suduva Mantinga67-65Neptunas 2
Neptunas 269-75Suduva Mantinga
Suduva Mantinga68-73Neptunas 2
Suduva Mantinga98-60Neptunas 2

Model analysis

Estimated points154.7Neptunas 2 78.6 · Suduva Mantinga 76.1

Match keys

H2H favours Suduva Mantinga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Neptunas 2	Suduva Mantinga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.1 / 74.4	89.9 / 77.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.6 / 71.6	94.2 / 74
Est. result	79	76

Est. total154.7

Line O/U158

Diff.3.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1581.81

Under 1581.85

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 158.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.81 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.80
2	1.17 → 1.17	Pinn 1.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	2
20:47 +8’	3.81	1.17
21:36 +23’	3.80▼	1.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Neptunas 2 2–0–4 Suduva Mantinga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	76-68	Neptunas 2
07/05/26 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	79-71	Suduva Mantinga
02/05/26 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	67-65	Neptunas 2
30/04/26 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	69-75	Suduva Mantinga
24/04/26 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	68-73	Neptunas 2
07/02/26 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	98-60	Neptunas 2

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	882	725
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	9	8	1	793	667
3	Palangos Olimpas	10	8	2	930	806
4	Suduva Mantinga	8	6	2	752	627
5	Silute Silute	8	6	2	667	619
6	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	693	668
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	814	781
8	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	870	824
9	Vytis	7	4	3	658	648
10	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	861	882
11	Vilkaviskio Perlas	9	4	5	733	762
12	Zalgiris 2	10	4	6	957	971
13	Kedainiu SC	10	4	6	768	838
14	Stekas	9	3	6	737	817
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	797	881
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	765	865
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	751	873
18	Atletas	9	0	9	696	870

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Neptunas 2	Suduva Mantinga
Mazeikiai	90-77 W	109-85 W
Telsiai	72-85 L	69-71 L
Omega-Tauras	72-76 L	82-87 L
Kretinga	91-76 W	88-83 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neptunas 2

LWLLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	59-57	W
24/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	74-62	W
22/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	78-77	W
17/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	90-77	W
15/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-85	L
10/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	73-70	W
06/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	84-88	L
03/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	72-76	L
01/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	91-76	W
09/05	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	68-76	L

Suduva Mantinga

LWWWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	98-64	W
29/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	109-85	W
27/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	113-63	W
24/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	69-71	L
17/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	82-87	L
15/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	88-83	W
10/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	106-94	W
08/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	87-80	W
09/05	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	76-68	W
07/05	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	71-79	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neptunas 2 vs Suduva Mantinga?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Neptunas 2 57% · Suduva Mantinga 43%).

How many points are expected in Neptunas 2 vs Suduva Mantinga?

The model estimates 154.7 total points (Neptunas 2 78.6 · Suduva Mantinga 76.1).