Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 05/11, 19:00

Prediction: Omega-Tauras vs Jurbarkas-Karys

Team pages: Omega-Tauras · Jurbarkas-Karys

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.8Total

Omega-Tauras85.8

Jurbarkas-Karys84

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Omega-Tauras Jurbarkas-Karys

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Omega-Tauras 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Jurbarkas-Karys 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Omega-Tauras 2–4 Jurbarkas-Karys (6 last)

Omega-Tauras94-98Jurbarkas-Karys
Jurbarkas-Karys84-95Omega-Tauras
Omega-Tauras80-89Jurbarkas-Karys
Omega-Tauras88-79Jurbarkas-Karys
Jurbarkas-Karys104-91Omega-Tauras
Omega-Tauras77-82Jurbarkas-Karys

Model analysis

Estimated points169.8Omega-Tauras 85.8 · Jurbarkas-Karys 84

Match keys

H2H favours Jurbarkas-Karys: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Omega-Tauras	Jurbarkas-Karys
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.2 / 84.9	85.7 / 77.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.8 / 81.2	83.2 / 76.2
Est. result	86	84

Est. total169.8

Line O/U168.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.85

Under 168.51.81

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 167.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.97 → 2.97	Pinn 2.97
2	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.9%

Time*	1	2
19:37 +15’	2.97	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Omega-Tauras 2–0–4 Jurbarkas-Karys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	94-98	Jurbarkas-Karys
05/02/26 Lithuania NKL	Jurbarkas-Karys	84-95	Omega-Tauras
27/11/25 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	80-89	Jurbarkas-Karys
13/02/25 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	88-79	Jurbarkas-Karys
14/12/24 Lithuania NKL	Jurbarkas-Karys	104-91	Omega-Tauras
19/10/24 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	77-82	Jurbarkas-Karys

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	882	725
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	9	8	1	793	667
3	Palangos Olimpas	10	8	2	930	806
4	Suduva Mantinga	8	6	2	752	627
5	Silute Silute	8	6	2	667	619
6	Neptunas 2	9	6	3	693	668
7	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	814	781
8	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	870	824
9	Vytis	7	4	3	658	648
10	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	861	882
11	Vilkaviskio Perlas	9	4	5	733	762
12	Zalgiris 2	10	4	6	957	971
13	Kedainiu SC	10	4	6	768	838
14	Stekas	9	3	6	737	817
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	797	881
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	765	865
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	751	873
18	Atletas	9	0	9	696	870

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omega-Tauras	Jurbarkas-Karys
Kretinga	72-75 L	86-79 W
Zalgiris 2	93-82 W	93-79 W
Alytaus Patriotai	74-85 L	96-68 W
Suduva Mantinga	87-82 W	64-106 L
Rytas 2	99-91 W	84-72 W
Kedainiu SC	127-89 W	81-72 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jurbarkas-Karys (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omega-Tauras

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	72-75	L
29/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	93-82	W
24/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	74-85	L
22/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	73-82	L
17/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	87-82	W
10/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	82-93	L
08/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	99-91	W
03/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	76-72	W
30/09	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	127-89	W
14/03	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	89-98	L

Jurbarkas-Karys

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	72-79	L
29/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	86-79	W
22/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	93-79	W
17/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	81-72	W
15/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	84-72	W
10/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	91-62	W
08/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	88-78	W
03/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	102-78	W
01/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	96-68	W
07/04	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	64-106	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omega-Tauras vs Jurbarkas-Karys?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Omega-Tauras 55% · Jurbarkas-Karys 45%).

How many points are expected in Omega-Tauras vs Jurbarkas-Karys?

The model estimates 169.8 total points (Omega-Tauras 85.8 · Jurbarkas-Karys 84).