Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 07/11, 13:10

Prediction: Jurbarkas-Karys vs Telsiai

Team pages: Jurbarkas-Karys · Telsiai

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.4Total

Jurbarkas-Karys80.6

Telsiai79.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

Jurbarkas-Karys Telsiai

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Jurbarkas-Karys 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWL

Telsiai 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Jurbarkas-Karys 1–5 Telsiai (6 last)

Telsiai74-71Jurbarkas-Karys
Jurbarkas-Karys74-88Telsiai
Telsiai73-62Jurbarkas-Karys
Jurbarkas-Karys100-97Telsiai
Telsiai85-67Jurbarkas-Karys
Jurbarkas-Karys83-89Telsiai

Model analysis

Estimated points160.4Jurbarkas-Karys 80.6 · Telsiai 79.9

Match keys

H2H favours Telsiai: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Jurbarkas-Karys	Telsiai
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.7 / 77.3	89.4 / 71.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.2 / 76.2	93.8 / 73.2
Est. result	81	80

Est. total160.4

Line O/U163.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 161.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.78	Pinn 1.78
2	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
21:47 +11’	1.78	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurbarkas-Karys 1–0–5 Telsiai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Lithuania NKL	Telsiai	74-71	Jurbarkas-Karys
29/11/25 Lithuania NKL	Jurbarkas-Karys	74-88	Telsiai
27/02/25 Lithuania NKL	Telsiai	73-62	Jurbarkas-Karys
25/01/25 Lithuania NKL	Jurbarkas-Karys	100-97	Telsiai
03/10/24 Lithuania NKL	Telsiai	85-67	Jurbarkas-Karys
10/02/24 Lithuania NKL	Jurbarkas-Karys	83-89	Telsiai

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	882	725
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	9	8	1	793	667
3	Palangos Olimpas	10	8	2	930	806
4	Silute Silute	9	7	2	759	702
5	Neptunas 2	10	7	3	780	732
6	Suduva Mantinga	9	6	3	835	719
7	Vytis	8	5	3	765	729
8	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	814	781
9	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	870	824
10	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	861	882
11	Zalgiris 2	10	4	6	957	971
12	Kedainiu SC	10	4	6	768	838
13	Vilkaviskio Perlas	10	4	6	814	869
14	Stekas	10	3	7	801	904
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	797	881
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	765	865
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	751	873
18	Atletas	9	0	9	696	870

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jurbarkas-Karys	Telsiai
Silute Silute	72-79 L	103-63 W
Kedainiu SC	81-72 W	73-61 W
Mazeikiai	91-62 W	83-72 W
Atletas	102-78 W	100-76 W
Suduva Mantinga	64-106 L	71-69 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Telsiai (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jurbarkas-Karys

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	72-79	L
29/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	86-79	W
22/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	93-79	W
17/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	81-72	W
15/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	84-72	W
10/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	91-62	W
08/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	88-78	W
03/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	102-78	W
01/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	96-68	W
07/04	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	64-106	L

Telsiai

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	103-63	W
31/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	91-88	W
29/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	100-76	W
24/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	71-69	W
22/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	104-70	W
17/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	94-70	W
15/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	85-72	W
10/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	73-61	W
08/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	83-72	W
03/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	90-70	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jurbarkas-Karys vs Telsiai?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Jurbarkas-Karys 52% · Telsiai 48%).

How many points are expected in Jurbarkas-Karys vs Telsiai?

The model estimates 160.4 total points (Jurbarkas-Karys 80.6 · Telsiai 79.9).