Basketball · China CBA · 01/11, 12:35

Prediction: Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Jiangsu Dragons

Team pages: Zhejiang Golden Bulls · Jiangsu Dragons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171Total

Zhejiang Golden Bulls92.5

Jiangsu Dragons78.5

1X2

84% 16%

Zhejiang Golden Bulls Jiangsu Dragons

Recent form · 10 last

Zhejiang Golden Bulls 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWWWL

Jiangsu Dragons 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Zhejiang Golden Bulls 4–2 Jiangsu Dragons (6 last)

Zhejiang Golden Bulls104-92Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons79-69Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Jiangsu Dragons77-89Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Zhejiang Golden Bulls89-69Jiangsu Dragons
Zhejiang Golden Bulls95-85Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons99-93Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhejiang Golden Bulls 1561 · Jiangsu Dragons 1431

	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Jiangsu Dragons
Our model	78%	22%
Market	86%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 171 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171Zhejiang Golden Bulls 92.5 · Jiangsu Dragons 78.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhejiang Golden Bulls (rating 1561 vs 1431).
Zhejiang Golden Bulls is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Zhejiang Golden Bulls: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Jiangsu Dragons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.3 / 79.8	84.8 / 89.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86 / 73.4	82 / 88.6
Est. result	93	79

Est. total171

Line O/U168.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.09

26.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.83

2 (+12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 169.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.09	Pinn 1.10 ★
2	6.75 → 6.75	Bet365 6.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 8.8%

Time*	1	2
15:23 +2’	1.09	6.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:24 +2’	1.10	5.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang Golden Bulls 4–0–2 Jiangsu Dragons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 Club Friendlies	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	104-92	Jiangsu Dragons
08/08/26 China CBA Summer League	Jiangsu Dragons	79-69	Zhejiang Golden Bulls
09/04/26 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	77-89	Zhejiang Golden Bulls
27/01/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	89-69	Jiangsu Dragons
24/03/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	95-85	Jiangsu Dragons
05/01/25 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	99-93	Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Standings · China CBA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	694	567
3	Shanghai Sharks	6	5	1	580	520
4	Fujian Sturgeons	7	4	3	642	618
5	Liaoning Flying Leopards	6	5	1	585	538
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	6	4	2	509	457
7	Guangdong Southern Tigers	7	3	4	600	611
8	Shandong Hi-Speed	7	3	4	637	655
9	Zhejiang Lions	6	4	2	558	557
10	Shanxi Loongs	6	4	2	612	547
11	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	7	3	4	602	629
12	Shenzhen Leopards	6	3	3	466	570
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	6	3	3	507	497
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	6	3	3	547	582
15	Qingdao Eagles	7	2	5	620	637
16	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
17	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
18	Tianjin Pioneers	6	1	5	554	584
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
20	Ningbo Rockets	6	0	6	464	571

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Jiangsu Dragons
Sichuan Blue Whales	91-49 W	101-85 W
Shenzhen Leopards	91-95 L	81-89 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zhejiang Golden Bulls (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

WWLLLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	81-88	L
27/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	81-75	W
25/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	91-49	W
23/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	88-80	W
21/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	89-75	W
18/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	79-90	L
10/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	91-95	L
07/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	95-108	L
02/05	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	83-81	W
29/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	65-57	W

Jiangsu Dragons

LWWLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
27/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	88-78	W
25/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	79-101	L
23/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	82-93	L
19/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	81-89	L
17/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	85-89	L
24/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	89-108	L
20/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	101-85	W
18/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	87-86	W
16/04	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	76-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Jiangsu Dragons?

Our model gives 84% to Zhejiang Golden Bulls.

How many points are expected in Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Jiangsu Dragons?

The model estimates 171 total points (Zhejiang Golden Bulls 92.5 · Jiangsu Dragons 78.5).