Basketball · China CBA · 27/10, 12:35

Prediction: Qingdao Eagles vs Tianjin Pioneers

Team pages: Qingdao Eagles · Tianjin Pioneers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

185.1Total

Qingdao Eagles98.7

Tianjin Pioneers86.4

1X2

81% 19%

Qingdao Eagles Tianjin Pioneers

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Eagles 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLLW

Tianjin Pioneers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Qingdao Eagles 6–0 Tianjin Pioneers (6 last)

Tianjin Pioneers74-85Qingdao Eagles
Tianjin Pioneers97-106Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles94-90Tianjin Pioneers
Qingdao Eagles116-93Tianjin Pioneers
Qingdao Eagles123-95Tianjin Pioneers
Tianjin Pioneers100-103Qingdao Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Eagles 1520 · Tianjin Pioneers 1444

	Qingdao Eagles	Tianjin Pioneers
Our model	72%	28%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 185.1 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points185.1Qingdao Eagles 98.7 · Tianjin Pioneers 86.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qingdao Eagles (rating 1520 vs 1444).
Qingdao Eagles is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Qingdao Eagles: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Qingdao Eagles	Tianjin Pioneers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.4 / 89.7	95.7 / 96.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.6 / 88.8	93 / 99.6
Est. result	99	86

Est. total185.1

Line O/U182.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 182.51.80

Under 182.51.87

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 185.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Pinn 1.13 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
18:42 +5’	1.12	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:37 +10’	1.13	4.93
19:46 +1’	1.12▼	4.97▲
20:43 +3’	1.13▲	4.96▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Eagles 6–0–0 Tianjin Pioneers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Tianjin Pioneers	74-85	Qingdao Eagles
17/04/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	97-106	Qingdao Eagles
01/04/26 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	94-90	Tianjin Pioneers
07/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Qingdao Eagles	116-93	Tianjin Pioneers
25/12/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	123-95	Tianjin Pioneers
21/12/24 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	100-103	Qingdao Eagles

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	4	4	0	417	295
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	4	4	0	394	357
3	Shanghai Sharks	4	3	1	393	352
4	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
5	Beijing Royal Fighters	4	3	1	383	328
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	4	3	1	347	294
7	Jilin Northeast Tigers	4	2	2	341	339
8	Zhejiang Lions	4	2	2	373	381
9	Guangdong Southern Tigers	4	2	2	355	347
10	Sichuan Blue Whales	4	2	2	330	368
11	Fujian Sturgeons	4	2	2	367	354
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	4	2	2	359	359
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	4	2	2	370	374
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	4	2	2	363	379
15	Qingdao Eagles	4	1	3	354	347
16	Nanjing Monkey King	4	1	3	354	416
17	Tianjin Pioneers	4	1	3	372	395
18	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
19	Jiangsu Dragons	4	0	4	327	372
20	Ningbo Rockets	4	0	4	297	379

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao Eagles	Tianjin Pioneers
Zhejiang Golden Bulls	80-88 L	84-96 L
Xinjiang Flying Tigers	80-82 L	92-107 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Eagles (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Eagles

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	101-80	W
23/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	80-88	L
21/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-97	L
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W
19/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	90-95	L
17/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-97	W
14/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	70-87	L

Tianjin Pioneers

WWWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	93-105	L
23/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	102-86	W
20/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	92-107	L
17/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	85-97	L
24/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-103	L
20/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	84-96	L
17/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-106	L
15/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	100-84	W
13/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	100-98	W
11/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	111-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Eagles vs Tianjin Pioneers?

Our model gives 81% to Qingdao Eagles.

How many points are expected in Qingdao Eagles vs Tianjin Pioneers?

The model estimates 185.1 total points (Qingdao Eagles 98.7 · Tianjin Pioneers 86.4).