Basketball · China CBA · 24/10, 13:35

Prediction: Zhejiang Lions vs Jilin Northeast Tigers

Team pages: Zhejiang Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.6Total

Zhejiang Lions94.1

Jilin Northeast Tigers85.5

1X2

73% 27%

Zhejiang Lions Jilin Northeast Tigers

Recent form · 10 last

Zhejiang Lions 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Jilin Northeast Tigers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Zhejiang Lions 5–1 Jilin Northeast Tigers (6 last)

Zhejiang Lions101-86Jilin Northeast Tigers
Zhejiang Lions102-88Jilin Northeast Tigers
Zhejiang Lions97-94Jilin Northeast Tigers
Jilin Northeast Tigers78-72Zhejiang Lions
Jilin Northeast Tigers103-118Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions99-90Jilin Northeast Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhejiang Lions 1485 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 1379

	Zhejiang Lions	Jilin Northeast Tigers
Our model	76%	24%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 179.6 points · Bet365 line 179.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.6Zhejiang Lions 94.1 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 85.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhejiang Lions (rating 1485 vs 1379).
Zhejiang Lions is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Zhejiang Lions: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zhejiang Lions	Jilin Northeast Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.7 / 97.6	78.8 / 92.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	95 / 99	75.8 / 89.4
Est. result	94	86

Est. total179.6

Line O/U179.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 179.51.87

Under 179.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 179.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	2
11:46 +3’	1.28	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang Lions 5–0–1 Jilin Northeast Tigers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/10/26 Club Friendlies	Zhejiang Lions	101-86	Jilin Northeast Tigers
18/03/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	102-88	Jilin Northeast Tigers
07/02/26 China CBA Club Cup	Zhejiang Lions	97-94	Jilin Northeast Tigers
02/02/26 China CBA	Jilin Northeast Tigers	78-72	Zhejiang Lions
11/03/25 China CBA	Jilin Northeast Tigers	103-118	Zhejiang Lions
02/12/24 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	99-90	Jilin Northeast Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
2	Zhejiang Lions	3	2	1	292	299
3	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
4	Fujian Sturgeons	3	2	1	278	260
5	Shanghai Sharks	3	2	1	299	263
6	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
7	Sichuan Blue Whales	2	2	0	188	173
8	Jilin Northeast Tigers	3	1	2	259	258
9	Guangzhou Long-Lions	2	2	0	204	160
10	Liaoning Flying Leopards	2	2	0	192	177
11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	3	1	2	269	270
12	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
13	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
14	Ningbo Rockets	3	0	3	220	293
15	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	2	1	1	168	165
16	Nanjing Monkey King	2	1	1	177	209
17	Qingdao Eagles	2	0	2	173	179
18	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
19	Shandong Hi-Speed	2	0	2	159	184
20	Tianjin Pioneers	2	0	2	177	204

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhejiang Lions

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	78-96	L
20/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	99-94	W
17/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	115-109	W
05/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-103	L
02/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	101-93	W
31/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	77-110	L
28/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-91	L
26/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	90-101	L
23/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	97-88	W
21/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	80-91	L

Jilin Northeast Tigers

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	89-83	W
20/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	88-91	L
18/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	82-84	L
24/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	55-105	L
20/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	65-84	L
18/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	75-93	L
16/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	66-82	L
13/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	81-98	L
10/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	84-117	L
07/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	103-84	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhejiang Lions vs Jilin Northeast Tigers?

Our model gives 73% to Zhejiang Lions.

How many points are expected in Zhejiang Lions vs Jilin Northeast Tigers?

The model estimates 179.6 total points (Zhejiang Lions 94.1 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 85.5).