Basketball · China CBA · 25/10, 12:35

Prediction: Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Team pages: Liaoning Flying Leopards · Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

182.1Total

Liaoning Flying Leopards94.7

Xinjiang Flying Tigers87.4

1X2

70% 30%

Liaoning Flying Leopards Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Recent form · 10 last

Liaoning Flying Leopards 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWWW

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Liaoning Flying Leopards 5–1 Xinjiang Flying Tigers (6 last)

Liaoning Flying Leopards87-75Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers78-59Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards82-75Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers79-101Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards105-96Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Liaoning Flying Leopards123-116Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Flying Leopards 1556 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 1485

	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Our model	72%	28%
Market	70%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 182.1 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points182.1Liaoning Flying Leopards 94.7 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 87.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Flying Leopards (rating 1556 vs 1485).
Liaoning Flying Leopards is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Liaoning Flying Leopards: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.3 / 91.1	93.7 / 93.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.8 / 94	93 / 86
Est. result	95	87

Est. total182.1

Line O/U181.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.33

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.83

2 (+6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.83

Under 181.51.83

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 184.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
2	2.75 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.48 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
14:47 +27’	1.40	2.75
16:07 +11’	1.33▼	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:13	1.30	3.08
15:40 +38’	1.27▼	3.29▲
16:54 +20’	1.24▼	3.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Flying Leopards 5–0–1 Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	87-75	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
25/01/26 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	78-59	Liaoning Flying Leopards
16/01/26 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	82-75	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
18/04/25 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	79-101	Liaoning Flying Leopards
15/04/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	105-96	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
13/04/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	123-116	Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	3	3	0	296	270
3	Zhejiang Lions	3	2	1	292	299
4	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
5	Shanghai Sharks	3	2	1	299	263
6	Guangzhou Long-Lions	3	2	1	290	262
7	Fujian Sturgeons	3	2	1	278	260
8	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	3	2	1	256	245
9	Beijing Royal Fighters	3	2	1	280	258
10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
11	Sichuan Blue Whales	3	2	1	281	277
12	Nanjing Monkey King	3	1	2	274	315
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	3	1	2	265	281
14	Guangdong Southern Tigers	3	1	2	269	270
15	Jilin Northeast Tigers	3	1	2	259	258
16	Tianjin Pioneers	3	1	2	279	290
17	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
18	Qingdao Eagles	3	0	3	253	267
19	Jiangsu Dragons	3	0	3	248	271
20	Ningbo Rockets	3	0	3	220	293

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Liaoning Flying Leopards	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Qingdao Eagles	97-93 W	82-80 W
Shanghai Sharks	80-114 L	86-111 L
Nanjing Monkey King	103-95 W	109-75 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Xinjiang Flying Tigers (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Flying Leopards

WLLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	104-93	W
21/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-93	W
18/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-84	W
03/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	82-98	L
01/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	86-102	L
28/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	77-67	W
24/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	108-89	W
20/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	80-114	L
18/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	71-76	L
15/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	103-95	W

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

WLLLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	83-89	L
20/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	107-92	W
17/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	82-80	W
24/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	84-94	L
19/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	109-75	W
17/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	86-111	L
15/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-104	L
13/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	98-100	L
11/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-93	L
08/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-101	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers?

Our model gives 70% to Liaoning Flying Leopards.

How many points are expected in Liaoning Flying Leopards vs Xinjiang Flying Tigers?

The model estimates 182.1 total points (Liaoning Flying Leopards 94.7 · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 87.4).