Basketball · China CBA · 27/10, 12:35
Prediction: Jiangsu Dragons vs Fujian Sturgeons
Team pages: Jiangsu Dragons · Fujian Sturgeons
Prediction summary
Estimated points
182.6Total
Jiangsu Dragons88.8
Fujian Sturgeons93.8
1X2
Jiangsu Dragons
Fujian Sturgeons
Recent form · 10 last
Jiangsu Dragons
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Fujian Sturgeons
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jiangsu Dragons
1–5
Fujian Sturgeons
(6 last)
- Jiangsu Dragons85-89Fujian Sturgeons
- Jiangsu Dragons76-84Fujian Sturgeons
- Fujian Sturgeons104-80Jiangsu Dragons
- Fujian Sturgeons103-96Jiangsu Dragons
- Jiangsu Dragons113-92Fujian Sturgeons
- Fujian Sturgeons104-93Jiangsu Dragons
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiangsu Dragons 1447 · Fujian Sturgeons 1512
| Jiangsu Dragons | Fujian Sturgeons | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
182.6 points · Bet365 line 184.5 · -1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points182.6Jiangsu Dragons 88.8 · Fujian Sturgeons 93.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fujian Sturgeons (rating 1447 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Fujian Sturgeons: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Jiangsu Dragons | Fujian Sturgeons | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.5 / 90.8 | 94.7 / 92.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.2 / 96 | 92 / 89 |
| Est. result | 89 | 94 |
Est. total182.6
Line O/U184.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangsu Dragons 1–0–5 Fujian Sturgeons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 China CBA | Jiangsu Dragons | 85-89 | Fujian Sturgeons |
| 16/04/26 China CBA | Jiangsu Dragons | 76-84 | Fujian Sturgeons |
| 16/12/25 China CBA | Fujian Sturgeons | 104-80 | Jiangsu Dragons |
| 31/12/24 China CBA | Fujian Sturgeons | 103-96 | Jiangsu Dragons |
| 27/12/24 China CBA | Jiangsu Dragons | 113-92 | Fujian Sturgeons |
| 05/02/24 China CBA | Fujian Sturgeons | 104-93 | Jiangsu Dragons |
Standings · China CBA
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beijing Ducks | 4 | 4 | 0 | 417 | 295 | 0 |
| 2 | Liaoning Flying Leopards | 4 | 4 | 0 | 394 | 357 | 0 |
| 3 | Shanghai Sharks | 4 | 3 | 1 | 393 | 352 | 0 |
| 4 | Shanxi Loongs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 416 | 359 | 0 |
| 5 | Beijing Royal Fighters | 4 | 3 | 1 | 383 | 328 | 0 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 4 | 3 | 1 | 347 | 294 | 0 |
| 7 | Jilin Northeast Tigers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 341 | 339 | 0 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Lions | 4 | 2 | 2 | 373 | 381 | 0 |
| 9 | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 355 | 347 | 0 |
| 10 | Sichuan Blue Whales | 4 | 2 | 2 | 330 | 368 | 0 |
| 11 | Fujian Sturgeons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 367 | 354 | 0 |
| 12 | Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 359 | 359 | 0 |
| 13 | Shandong Hi-Speed | 4 | 2 | 2 | 370 | 374 | 0 |
| 14 | Guangzhou Long-Lions | 4 | 2 | 2 | 363 | 379 | 0 |
| 15 | Qingdao Eagles | 4 | 1 | 3 | 354 | 347 | 0 |
| 16 | Nanjing Monkey King | 4 | 1 | 3 | 354 | 416 | 0 |
| 17 | Tianjin Pioneers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 372 | 395 | 0 |
| 18 | Shenzhen Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 289 | 406 | 0 |
| 19 | Jiangsu Dragons | 4 | 0 | 4 | 327 | 372 | 0 |
| 20 | Ningbo Rockets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 297 | 379 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiangsu Dragons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Shanxi Loongs China CBA |
79-101 | L |
| 23/10 | Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA |
82-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Shenzhen Leopards China CBA |
81-89 | L |
| 17/10 | Fujian Sturgeons China CBA |
85-89 | L |
| 24/04 | Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA |
89-108 | L |
| 20/04 | Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA |
101-85 | W |
| 18/04 | Shanxi Loongs China CBA |
87-86 | W |
| 16/04 | Fujian Sturgeons China CBA |
76-84 | L |
| 13/04 | Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA |
67-80 | L |
| 11/04 | Shenzhen Leopards China CBA |
88-93 | L |
Fujian Sturgeons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Shanghai Sharks China CBA |
89-94 | L |
| 22/10 | Ningbo Rockets China CBA |
95-76 | W |
| 20/10 | Zhejiang Lions China CBA |
94-99 | L |
| 17/10 | Jiangsu Dragons China CBA |
89-85 | W |
| 24/04 | Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA |
93-91 | W |
| 20/04 | Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA |
94-101 | L |
| 18/04 | Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA |
95-83 | W |
| 16/04 | Jiangsu Dragons China CBA |
84-76 | W |
| 13/04 | Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA |
98-97 | W |
| 10/04 | Shanghai Sharks China CBA |
116-119 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiangsu Dragons vs Fujian Sturgeons?
Our model gives 64% to Fujian Sturgeons.
How many points are expected in Jiangsu Dragons vs Fujian Sturgeons?
The model estimates 182.6 total points (Jiangsu Dragons 88.8 · Fujian Sturgeons 93.8).