Basketball · China CBA · 25/10, 12:35

Prediction: Qingdao Eagles vs Nanjing Monkey King

Team pages: Qingdao Eagles · Nanjing Monkey King

Prediction summary

Estimated points

186.5Total

Qingdao Eagles97.5

Nanjing Monkey King88.9

1X2

73% 27%

Qingdao Eagles Nanjing Monkey King

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Eagles 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Nanjing Monkey King 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Qingdao Eagles 4–2 Nanjing Monkey King (6 last)

Nanjing Monkey King88-95Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles99-88Nanjing Monkey King
Qingdao Eagles118-88Nanjing Monkey King
Nanjing Monkey King80-89Qingdao Eagles
Nanjing Monkey King89-83Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles81-89Nanjing Monkey King

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Eagles 1522 · Nanjing Monkey King 1410

	Qingdao Eagles	Nanjing Monkey King
Our model	76%	24%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 186.5 points · Bet365 line 183.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points186.5Qingdao Eagles 97.5 · Nanjing Monkey King 88.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qingdao Eagles (rating 1522 vs 1410).
Qingdao Eagles is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Qingdao Eagles: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Qingdao Eagles	Nanjing Monkey King
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.1 / 89.4	90.2 / 100.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.6 / 90.8	89 / 108
Est. result	98	89

Est. total186.5

Line O/U183.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 183.51.83

Under 183.51.83

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 183.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 7.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	2
15:06 +8’	1.28	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:05 +12’	1.06	7.16
16:20 +55’	1.06▲	7.07▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Eagles 4–0–2 Nanjing Monkey King

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 China CBA	Nanjing Monkey King	88-95	Qingdao Eagles
18/12/25 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	99-88	Nanjing Monkey King
16/12/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	118-88	Nanjing Monkey King
13/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Nanjing Monkey King	80-89	Qingdao Eagles
02/11/24 China CBA	Nanjing Monkey King	89-83	Qingdao Eagles
20/09/24 Basketball Matches	Qingdao Eagles	81-89	Nanjing Monkey King

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	3	3	0	296	270
3	Zhejiang Lions	3	2	1	292	299
4	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
5	Shanghai Sharks	3	2	1	299	263
6	Guangzhou Long-Lions	3	2	1	290	262
7	Fujian Sturgeons	3	2	1	278	260
8	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	3	2	1	256	245
9	Beijing Royal Fighters	3	2	1	280	258
10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
11	Sichuan Blue Whales	3	2	1	281	277
12	Nanjing Monkey King	3	1	2	274	315
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	3	1	2	265	281
14	Guangdong Southern Tigers	3	1	2	269	270
15	Jilin Northeast Tigers	3	1	2	259	258
16	Tianjin Pioneers	3	1	2	279	290
17	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
18	Qingdao Eagles	3	0	3	253	267
19	Jiangsu Dragons	3	0	3	248	271
20	Ningbo Rockets	3	0	3	220	293

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao Eagles	Nanjing Monkey King
Liaoning Flying Leopards	93-97 L	95-103 L
Xinjiang Flying Tigers	80-82 L	75-109 L
Shanxi Loongs	94-97 L	96-116 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Eagles (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Eagles

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	80-88	L
21/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-97	L
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W
19/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	90-95	L
17/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-97	W
14/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	70-87	L
12/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-77	W

Nanjing Monkey King

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	97-106	L
20/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	81-114	L
18/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	96-95	W
24/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	96-116	L
19/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	75-109	L
17/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	82-91	L
15/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	95-103	L
13/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	98-81	W
11/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	81-95	L
08/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	101-92	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Eagles vs Nanjing Monkey King?

Our model gives 73% to Qingdao Eagles.

How many points are expected in Qingdao Eagles vs Nanjing Monkey King?

The model estimates 186.5 total points (Qingdao Eagles 97.5 · Nanjing Monkey King 88.9).