Basketball · China CBA · 29/10, 12:35

Prediction: Qingdao Eagles vs Beijing Ducks

Team pages: Qingdao Eagles · Beijing Ducks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.9Total

Qingdao Eagles85.4

Beijing Ducks94.4

1X2

26% 74%

Qingdao Eagles Beijing Ducks

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao Eagles 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Beijing Ducks 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Qingdao Eagles 2–4 Beijing Ducks (6 last)

Qingdao Eagles78-83Beijing Ducks
Qingdao Eagles90-95Beijing Ducks
Beijing Ducks87-70Qingdao Eagles
Beijing Ducks87-89Qingdao Eagles
Beijing Ducks76-107Qingdao Eagles
Beijing Ducks110-101Qingdao Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Eagles 1510 · Beijing Ducks 1617

	Qingdao Eagles	Beijing Ducks
Our model	48%	52%
Market	21%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 179.9 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.9Qingdao Eagles 85.4 · Beijing Ducks 94.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Ducks (rating 1510 vs 1617).
Beijing Ducks is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Beijing Ducks: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Qingdao Eagles	Beijing Ducks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.8 / 90	94 / 81.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.6 / 87.4	104 / 77.4
Est. result	85	94

Est. total179.9

Line O/U181.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.40

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.83

2 (-9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.83

Under 181.51.83

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 178.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40
2	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.20 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
14:48 +3’	4.40	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:41 +9’	3.60	1.23
16:26 +22’	3.84▲	1.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Eagles 2–0–4 Beijing Ducks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Qingdao Eagles	78-83	Beijing Ducks
19/04/26 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	90-95	Beijing Ducks
14/04/26 China CBA	Beijing Ducks	87-70	Qingdao Eagles
01/02/26 China CBA	Beijing Ducks	87-89	Qingdao Eagles
04/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Beijing Ducks	76-107	Qingdao Eagles
12/03/25 China CBA	Beijing Ducks	110-101	Qingdao Eagles

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	5	5	0	520	387
2	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
6	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
7	Beijing Royal Fighters	5	3	2	473	419
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
10	Qingdao Eagles	5	2	3	448	437
11	Shandong Hi-Speed	5	2	3	462	477
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	5	2	3	442	446
14	Sichuan Blue Whales	5	2	3	411	459
15	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
16	Fujian Sturgeons	5	2	3	445	442
17	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	5	1	4	415	450
19	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Eagles

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	94-90	W
25/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	101-80	W
23/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	80-88	L
21/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-97	L
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W
19/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	90-95	L
17/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-97	W

Beijing Ducks

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	103-92	W
25/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	117-73	W
22/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	120-62	W
20/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	96-78	W
18/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	84-82	W
22/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	85-99	L
20/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	66-81	L
17/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	99-88	W
15/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-87	L
12/05	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	88-73	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Eagles vs Beijing Ducks?

Our model gives 74% to Beijing Ducks.

How many points are expected in Qingdao Eagles vs Beijing Ducks?

The model estimates 179.9 total points (Qingdao Eagles 85.4 · Beijing Ducks 94.4).