Basketball · China CBA · 27/10, 12:35

Prediction: Zhejiang Lions vs Liaoning Flying Leopards

Team pages: Zhejiang Lions · Liaoning Flying Leopards

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183.2Total

Zhejiang Lions92.1

Liaoning Flying Leopards91.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

Zhejiang Lions Liaoning Flying Leopards

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Zhejiang Lions 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLL

Liaoning Flying Leopards 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Zhejiang Lions 4–2 Liaoning Flying Leopards (6 last)

Liaoning Flying Leopards80-72Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions96-64Liaoning Flying Leopards
Liaoning Flying Leopards95-79Zhejiang Lions
Liaoning Flying Leopards98-109Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions110-84Liaoning Flying Leopards
Zhejiang Lions109-90Liaoning Flying Leopards

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhejiang Lions 1481 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 1559

	Zhejiang Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards
Our model	52%	48%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 183.2 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points183.2Zhejiang Lions 92.1 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 91.1

Match keys

H2H favours Zhejiang Lions: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zhejiang Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.8 / 96.7	89.8 / 90.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91 / 96.8	95.2 / 91
Est. result	92	91

Est. total183.2

Line O/U181.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.83

Under 181.51.83

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 183.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.02 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	2
18:45 +1’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:46 +1’	1.68	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang Lions 4–0–2 Liaoning Flying Leopards

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Liaoning Flying Leopards	80-72	Zhejiang Lions
25/12/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	96-64	Liaoning Flying Leopards
15/12/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	95-79	Zhejiang Lions
01/05/25 China CBA	Liaoning Flying Leopards	98-109	Zhejiang Lions
28/04/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	110-84	Liaoning Flying Leopards
26/04/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	109-90	Liaoning Flying Leopards

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	4	4	0	417	295
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	4	4	0	394	357
3	Shanghai Sharks	4	3	1	393	352
4	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
5	Beijing Royal Fighters	4	3	1	383	328
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	4	3	1	347	294
7	Jilin Northeast Tigers	4	2	2	341	339
8	Zhejiang Lions	4	2	2	373	381
9	Guangdong Southern Tigers	4	2	2	355	347
10	Sichuan Blue Whales	4	2	2	330	368
11	Fujian Sturgeons	4	2	2	367	354
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	4	2	2	359	359
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	4	2	2	370	374
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	4	2	2	363	379
15	Qingdao Eagles	4	1	3	354	347
16	Nanjing Monkey King	4	1	3	354	416
17	Tianjin Pioneers	4	1	3	372	395
18	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
19	Jiangsu Dragons	4	0	4	327	372
20	Ningbo Rockets	4	0	4	297	379

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhejiang Lions

WLLLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	81-82	L
22/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	78-96	L
20/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	99-94	W
17/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	115-109	W
05/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-103	L
02/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	101-93	W
31/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	77-110	L
28/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-91	L
26/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	90-101	L
23/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	97-88	W

Liaoning Flying Leopards

LLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	98-87	W
23/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	104-93	W
21/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-93	W
18/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-84	W
03/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	82-98	L
01/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	86-102	L
28/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	77-67	W
24/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	108-89	W
20/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	80-114	L
18/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	71-76	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhejiang Lions vs Liaoning Flying Leopards?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Zhejiang Lions 53% · Liaoning Flying Leopards 47%).

How many points are expected in Zhejiang Lions vs Liaoning Flying Leopards?

The model estimates 183.2 total points (Zhejiang Lions 92.1 · Liaoning Flying Leopards 91.1).