Basketball · China CBA · 29/10, 12:35

Prediction: Fujian Sturgeons vs Shandong Hi-Speed

Team pages: Fujian Sturgeons · Shandong Hi-Speed

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.4Total

Fujian Sturgeons88.3

Shandong Hi-Speed92.2

1X2

39% 61%

Fujian Sturgeons Shandong Hi-Speed

Recent form · 10 last

Fujian Sturgeons 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Shandong Hi-Speed 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Fujian Sturgeons 0–6 Shandong Hi-Speed (6 last)

Shandong Hi-Speed82-75Fujian Sturgeons
Shandong Hi-Speed102-93Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons99-105Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed78-62Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons92-103Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed111-92Fujian Sturgeons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fujian Sturgeons 1499 · Shandong Hi-Speed 1521

	Fujian Sturgeons	Shandong Hi-Speed
Our model	60%	40%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 180.4 points · Bet365 line 187.5 · -7.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points180.4Fujian Sturgeons 88.3 · Shandong Hi-Speed 92.2

Match keys

H2H favours Shandong Hi-Speed: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fujian Sturgeons	Shandong Hi-Speed
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.9 / 89	87.6 / 90.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89 / 88.4	92.4 / 95.4
Est. result	88	92

Est. total180.4

Line O/U187.5

Diff.7.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 187.51.83

Under 187.51.83

Diff.: 8.65 · Est. total: 178.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.72▲	Pinn 2.88 ★
2	1.63 → 1.41▼	Bet365 1.41

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
14:48 +3’	2.15	1.63
16:39 +9’	2.72▲	1.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:49	2.53	1.44
16:13 +35’	2.88▲	1.34▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fujian Sturgeons 0–0–6 Shandong Hi-Speed

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Shandong Hi-Speed	82-75	Fujian Sturgeons
01/04/26 China CBA	Shandong Hi-Speed	102-93	Fujian Sturgeons
06/01/26 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	99-105	Shandong Hi-Speed
27/08/25 China CBA Summer League	Shandong Hi-Speed	78-62	Fujian Sturgeons
15/12/24 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	92-103	Shandong Hi-Speed
30/11/24 China CBA	Shandong Hi-Speed	111-92	Fujian Sturgeons

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	5	5	0	520	387
2	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
6	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
7	Beijing Royal Fighters	5	3	2	473	419
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
10	Qingdao Eagles	5	2	3	448	437
11	Shandong Hi-Speed	5	2	3	462	477
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	5	2	3	442	446
14	Sichuan Blue Whales	5	2	3	411	459
15	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
16	Fujian Sturgeons	5	2	3	445	442
17	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	5	1	4	415	450
19	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fujian Sturgeons	Shandong Hi-Speed
Shanghai Sharks	89-94 L	68-96 L
Zhejiang Golden Bulls	98-97 W	75-89 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fujian Sturgeons (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fujian Sturgeons

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	78-88	L
24/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	89-94	L
22/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-76	W
20/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	94-99	L
17/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-85	W
24/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	93-91	W
20/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	94-101	L
18/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	95-83	W
16/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	84-76	W
13/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	98-97	W

Shandong Hi-Speed

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	92-103	L
25/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	105-93	W
23/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	106-97	W
21/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	75-89	L
18/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	84-95	L
09/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	68-96	L
06/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	79-84	L
03/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	98-82	W
01/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	102-86	W
28/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	67-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fujian Sturgeons vs Shandong Hi-Speed?

Our model gives 61% to Shandong Hi-Speed.

How many points are expected in Fujian Sturgeons vs Shandong Hi-Speed?

The model estimates 180.4 total points (Fujian Sturgeons 88.3 · Shandong Hi-Speed 92.2).