Basketball · China CBA · 27/10, 12:35

Prediction: Shandong Hi-Speed vs Beijing Ducks

Team pages: Shandong Hi-Speed · Beijing Ducks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.1Total

Shandong Hi-Speed81.6

Beijing Ducks91.5

1X2

24% 76%

Shandong Hi-Speed Beijing Ducks

Recent form · 10 last

Shandong Hi-Speed 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Beijing Ducks 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Shandong Hi-Speed 2–4 Beijing Ducks (6 last)

Beijing Ducks85-82Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed76-92Beijing Ducks
Beijing Ducks85-87Shandong Hi-Speed
Beijing Ducks95-99Shandong Hi-Speed
Beijing Ducks103-94Shandong Hi-Speed
Shandong Hi-Speed68-88Beijing Ducks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shandong Hi-Speed 1512 · Beijing Ducks 1617

	Shandong Hi-Speed	Beijing Ducks
Our model	48%	52%
Market	19%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 173.1 points · Bet365 line 184.5 · -11.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.1Shandong Hi-Speed 81.6 · Beijing Ducks 91.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Ducks (rating 1512 vs 1617).
Beijing Ducks is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Beijing Ducks: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shandong Hi-Speed	Beijing Ducks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.2 / 89.3	93.6 / 82.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.6 / 94	100.4 / 78.8
Est. result	82	92

Est. total173.1

Line O/U184.5

Diff.11.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+11)1.83

2 (-11)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 184.51.83

Under 184.51.83

Diff.: 8.2 · Est. total: 176.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.20 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
18:45 +1’	5.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:33 +13’	3.89	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Hi-Speed 2–0–4 Beijing Ducks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 China CBA Summer League	Beijing Ducks	85-82	Shandong Hi-Speed
17/04/26 China CBA	Shandong Hi-Speed	76-92	Beijing Ducks
09/01/26 China CBA	Beijing Ducks	85-87	Shandong Hi-Speed
07/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Beijing Ducks	95-99	Shandong Hi-Speed
05/03/25 China CBA	Beijing Ducks	103-94	Shandong Hi-Speed
10/02/25 China CBA Club Cup	Shandong Hi-Speed	68-88	Beijing Ducks

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	4	4	0	417	295
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	4	4	0	394	357
3	Shanghai Sharks	4	3	1	393	352
4	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
5	Beijing Royal Fighters	4	3	1	383	328
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	4	3	1	347	294
7	Jilin Northeast Tigers	4	2	2	341	339
8	Zhejiang Lions	4	2	2	373	381
9	Guangdong Southern Tigers	4	2	2	355	347
10	Sichuan Blue Whales	4	2	2	330	368
11	Fujian Sturgeons	4	2	2	367	354
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	4	2	2	359	359
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	4	2	2	370	374
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	4	2	2	363	379
15	Qingdao Eagles	4	1	3	354	347
16	Nanjing Monkey King	4	1	3	354	416
17	Tianjin Pioneers	4	1	3	372	395
18	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
19	Jiangsu Dragons	4	0	4	327	372
20	Ningbo Rockets	4	0	4	297	379

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shandong Hi-Speed

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	105-93	W
23/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	106-97	W
21/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	75-89	L
18/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	84-95	L
09/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	68-96	L
06/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	79-84	L
03/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	98-82	W
01/05	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	102-86	W
28/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	67-77	L
24/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-94	L

Beijing Ducks

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	117-73	W
22/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	120-62	W
20/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	96-78	W
18/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	84-82	W
22/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	85-99	L
20/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	66-81	L
17/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	99-88	W
15/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-87	L
12/05	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	88-73	W
09/05	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	99-102	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shandong Hi-Speed vs Beijing Ducks?

Our model gives 76% to Beijing Ducks.

How many points are expected in Shandong Hi-Speed vs Beijing Ducks?

The model estimates 173.1 total points (Shandong Hi-Speed 81.6 · Beijing Ducks 91.5).