Basketball · China CBA · 29/10, 12:35

Prediction: Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Jiangsu Dragons

Team pages: Guangdong Southern Tigers · Jiangsu Dragons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.6Total

Guangdong Southern Tigers91.9

Jiangsu Dragons83.7

1X2

72% 28%

Guangdong Southern Tigers Jiangsu Dragons

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong Southern Tigers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWWL

Jiangsu Dragons 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Guangdong Southern Tigers 3–3 Jiangsu Dragons (6 last)

Guangdong Southern Tigers101-92Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons93-92Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers101-75Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons86-103Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers98-100Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons77-62Guangdong Southern Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong Southern Tigers 1485 · Jiangsu Dragons 1439

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Jiangsu Dragons
Our model	69%	31%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 175.6 points · Bet365 line 175.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.6Guangdong Southern Tigers 91.9 · Jiangsu Dragons 83.7

Match keys

Guangdong Southern Tigers is a clear favourite (72% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Jiangsu Dragons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.6 / 87.9	83.5 / 89.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.4 / 89.2	83 / 90
Est. result	92	84

Est. total175.6

Line O/U175.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10)1.83

2 (+10)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 174.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.82 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
15:44 +5’	1.28	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:42 +7’	1.19	3.96
16:26 +22’	1.20▲	3.82▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Southern Tigers 3–0–3 Jiangsu Dragons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/26 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	101-92	Jiangsu Dragons
20/03/26 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	93-92	Guangdong Southern Tigers
06/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Guangdong Southern Tigers	101-75	Jiangsu Dragons
16/12/24 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	86-103	Guangdong Southern Tigers
05/12/24 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	98-100	Jiangsu Dragons
12/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Jiangsu Dragons	77-62	Guangdong Southern Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	5	5	0	520	387
2	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
6	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
7	Beijing Royal Fighters	5	3	2	473	419
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
10	Qingdao Eagles	5	2	3	448	437
11	Shandong Hi-Speed	5	2	3	462	477
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	5	2	3	442	446
14	Sichuan Blue Whales	5	2	3	411	459
15	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
16	Fujian Sturgeons	5	2	3	445	442
17	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	5	1	4	415	450
19	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong Southern Tigers

WWLWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	87-99	L
24/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	86-77	W
22/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	96-78	W
20/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	78-96	L
18/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	95-96	L
12/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	73-88	L
09/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	102-99	W
06/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	94-102	L
03/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-80	W
01/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	85-64	W

Jiangsu Dragons

LLWWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	88-78	W
25/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	79-101	L
23/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	82-93	L
19/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	81-89	L
17/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	85-89	L
24/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	89-108	L
20/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	101-85	W
18/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	87-86	W
16/04	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	76-84	L
13/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	67-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Jiangsu Dragons?

Our model gives 72% to Guangdong Southern Tigers.

How many points are expected in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Jiangsu Dragons?

The model estimates 175.6 total points (Guangdong Southern Tigers 91.9 · Jiangsu Dragons 83.7).