Basketball · China CBA · 24/10, 13:35

Prediction: Shanghai Sharks vs Fujian Sturgeons

Team pages: Shanghai Sharks · Fujian Sturgeons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.1Total

Shanghai Sharks102

Fujian Sturgeons90.2

1X2

80% 20%

Shanghai Sharks Fujian Sturgeons

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Sharks 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

Fujian Sturgeons 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Shanghai Sharks 6–0 Fujian Sturgeons (6 last)

Shanghai Sharks109-93Fujian Sturgeons
Shanghai Sharks119-116Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons80-110Shanghai Sharks
Shanghai Sharks114-92Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons101-120Shanghai Sharks
Fujian Sturgeons80-89Shanghai Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Sharks 1618 · Fujian Sturgeons 1480

	Shanghai Sharks	Fujian Sturgeons
Our model	79%	21%
Market	80%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 192.1 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.1Shanghai Sharks 102 · Fujian Sturgeons 90.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Sharks (rating 1618 vs 1480).
Shanghai Sharks is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Shanghai Sharks: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shanghai Sharks	Fujian Sturgeons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	97.7 / 85.2	96.1 / 93.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99 / 89.2	93 / 90.4
Est. result	102	90

Est. total192.1

Line O/U188.5

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10)1.83

2 (+10)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.83

Under 188.51.83

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 186.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
11:41 +8’	1.15	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Sharks 6–0–0 Fujian Sturgeons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 Club Friendlies	Shanghai Sharks	109-93	Fujian Sturgeons
10/04/26 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	119-116	Fujian Sturgeons
23/01/26 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	80-110	Shanghai Sharks
25/12/24 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	114-92	Fujian Sturgeons
21/12/24 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	101-120	Shanghai Sharks
17/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Fujian Sturgeons	80-89	Shanghai Sharks

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
2	Zhejiang Lions	3	2	1	292	299
3	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
4	Fujian Sturgeons	3	2	1	278	260
5	Shanghai Sharks	3	2	1	299	263
6	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
7	Sichuan Blue Whales	2	2	0	188	173
8	Jilin Northeast Tigers	3	1	2	259	258
9	Guangzhou Long-Lions	2	2	0	204	160
10	Liaoning Flying Leopards	2	2	0	192	177
11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	3	1	2	269	270
12	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
13	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
14	Ningbo Rockets	3	0	3	220	293
15	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	2	1	1	168	165
16	Nanjing Monkey King	2	1	1	177	209
17	Qingdao Eagles	2	0	2	173	179
18	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
19	Shandong Hi-Speed	2	0	2	159	184
20	Tianjin Pioneers	2	0	2	177	204

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Sharks

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	92-103	L
19/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	105-92	W
16/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	102-68	W
05/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	103-82	W
02/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-101	L
31/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	110-77	W
28/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-88	W
26/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	101-90	W
22/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	99-85	W
20/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	81-66	W

Fujian Sturgeons

LLWWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-76	W
20/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	94-99	L
17/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-85	W
24/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	93-91	W
20/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	94-101	L
18/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	95-83	W
16/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	84-76	W
13/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	98-97	W
10/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	116-119	L
07/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	103-112	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Sharks vs Fujian Sturgeons?

Our model gives 80% to Shanghai Sharks.

How many points are expected in Shanghai Sharks vs Fujian Sturgeons?

The model estimates 192.1 total points (Shanghai Sharks 102 · Fujian Sturgeons 90.2).