Basketball · China CBA · 29/10, 12:35

Prediction: Beijing Royal Fighters vs Sichuan Blue Whales

Team pages: Beijing Royal Fighters · Sichuan Blue Whales

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183.4Total

Beijing Royal Fighters99.9

Sichuan Blue Whales83.5

1X2

88% 12%

Beijing Royal Fighters Sichuan Blue Whales

Recent form · 10 last

Beijing Royal Fighters 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Sichuan Blue Whales 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Beijing Royal Fighters 6–0 Sichuan Blue Whales (6 last)

Beijing Royal Fighters93-71Sichuan Blue Whales
Sichuan Blue Whales79-81Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters95-82Sichuan Blue Whales
Sichuan Blue Whales99-111Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters103-85Sichuan Blue Whales
Sichuan Blue Whales102-119Beijing Royal Fighters

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Royal Fighters 1546 · Sichuan Blue Whales 1368

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Sichuan Blue Whales
Our model	82%	18%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 183.4 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +7.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points183.4Beijing Royal Fighters 99.9 · Sichuan Blue Whales 83.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Royal Fighters (rating 1546 vs 1368).
Beijing Royal Fighters is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Beijing Royal Fighters: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Sichuan Blue Whales
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.7 / 87.1	84.5 / 98.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.6 / 83.8	82.2 / 91.8
Est. result	100	84

Est. total183.4

Line O/U175.5

Diff.7.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

28.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-17.5)1.83

2 (+17.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 6.3 · Est. total: 181.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.04▼	Pinn 1.06 ★
2	7.50 → 8.75▲	Bet365 8.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 8.1%

Time*	1	2
14:48 +3’	1.07	7.50
16:44 +3’	1.04▼	8.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:39 +10’	1.05	7.74
16:24 +23’	1.06▲	7.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Royal Fighters 6–0–0 Sichuan Blue Whales

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	93-71	Sichuan Blue Whales
08/01/26 China CBA	Sichuan Blue Whales	79-81	Beijing Royal Fighters
03/12/24 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	95-82	Sichuan Blue Whales
19/10/24 China CBA	Sichuan Blue Whales	99-111	Beijing Royal Fighters
13/03/24 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	103-85	Sichuan Blue Whales
18/01/24 China CBA	Sichuan Blue Whales	102-119	Beijing Royal Fighters

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	5	5	0	520	387
2	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
6	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
7	Beijing Royal Fighters	5	3	2	473	419
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
10	Qingdao Eagles	5	2	3	448	437
11	Shandong Hi-Speed	5	2	3	462	477
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	5	2	3	442	446
14	Sichuan Blue Whales	5	2	3	411	459
15	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
16	Fujian Sturgeons	5	2	3	445	442
17	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	5	1	4	415	450
19	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beijing Royal Fighters	Sichuan Blue Whales
Shenzhen Leopards	103-70 W	113-126 L
Jiangsu Dragons	93-82 W	85-101 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Royal Fighters (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Royal Fighters

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-91	L
25/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	103-70	W
23/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	93-82	W
19/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	92-105	L
17/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-71	W
24/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-94	L
19/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	104-117	L
17/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	93-71	W
15/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	87-81	W
13/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	102-89	W

Sichuan Blue Whales

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	81-91	L
25/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	49-91	L
23/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-104	L
20/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	91-88	W
17/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	97-85	W
24/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	81-104	L
20/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	85-101	L
17/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	71-93	L
15/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	84-100	L
13/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	113-126	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Sichuan Blue Whales?

Our model gives 88% to Beijing Royal Fighters.

How many points are expected in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Sichuan Blue Whales?

The model estimates 183.4 total points (Beijing Royal Fighters 99.9 · Sichuan Blue Whales 83.5).