Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Digenis Morphou B.C. vs AEK Larnaca

Team pages: Digenis Morphou B.C. · AEK Larnaca

Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.5Total
Digenis Morphou B.C.70.3
AEK Larnaca84.2
1X2
16% 84%
Digenis Morphou B.C. AEK Larnaca
Recent form · 10 last
Digenis Morphou B.C. 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLWL
AEK Larnaca 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Digenis Morphou B.C. 0–2 AEK Larnaca (2 last)
  • AEK Larnaca91-72Digenis Morphou B.C.
  • Digenis Morphou B.C.71-82AEK Larnaca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Digenis Morphou B.C. 1454 · AEK Larnaca 1594
Digenis Morphou B.C.AEK Larnaca
Our model43%57%
Market10%90%
Estimated total (ours) 154.5 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points154.5Digenis Morphou B.C. 70.3 · AEK Larnaca 84.2

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1454 vs 1594).
  • AEK Larnaca is a clear favourite (84% market).
  • H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Digenis Morphou B.C.AEK Larnaca
Points F|A (Last 10)72.7 / 84.680.8 / 73
Points F|A (Last 5)69 / 80.282.6 / 66.8
Est. result7084
Est. total154.5
Line O/U148.5
Diff.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Digenis Morphou B.C. 0–0–2 AEK Larnaca

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Cyprus Division A
AEK Larnaca91-72Digenis Morphou B.C.
01/11/25
Cyprus Division A
Digenis Morphou B.C.71-82AEK Larnaca

Standings · Cyprus Division A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AEK Larnaca 440 3452708
2 Etha Engomis 532 3673688
3 Keravnos 440 3703038
4 Apoel 431 3202827
5 AEL 431 3072767
6 EN Paralimni 422 3393356
7 Apollon Limassol 413 2853455
8 Achilleas Kaimakliou 505 3724585
9 Digenis Morphou B.C. 413 2723125
10 Anorthosis Famagusta 404 3013294

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDigenis Morphou B.C.AEK Larnaca
Keravnos 82-91 L 68-64 W
Etha Engomis 65-76 L 87-61 W
EN Paralimni 73-89 L 85-74 W
Apoel 69-75 L 83-79 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Digenis Morphou B.C.

LLLWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
30/10 AEL
Cyprus Division A
49-71 L
25/10 Anorthosis Famagusta
Cyprus Division A
76-74 W
18/10 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
82-91 L
09/10 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
65-76 L
07/03 EN Paralimni
Cyprus Division A
73-89 L
14/02 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
73-96 L
08/02 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
93-91 W
02/02 Apoel
Cyprus Division A
69-75 L
24/01 AEL
Cyprus Division A
75-92 L
17/01 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division A
72-91 L

AEK Larnaca

WLWWLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 Etha Engomis
Cyprus Division A
87-61 W
24/10 EN Paralimni
Cyprus Division A
85-74 W
18/10 Apoel
Cyprus Division A
83-79 W
11/10 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division A
90-56 W
25/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
68-64 W
21/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
80-94 L
17/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
76-75 W
13/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
86-81 W
09/05 Keravnos
Cyprus Division A
68-75 L
01/05 Apoel
Cyprus Division A
85-71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Digenis Morphou B.C. vs AEK Larnaca?

Our model gives 84% to AEK Larnaca.

How many points are expected in Digenis Morphou B.C. vs AEK Larnaca?

The model estimates 154.5 total points (Digenis Morphou B.C. 70.3 · AEK Larnaca 84.2).