Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: Anorthosis Famagusta vs AEL

Team pages: Anorthosis Famagusta · AEL

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.9Total

Anorthosis Famagusta74.6

AEL80.4

1X2

34% 66%

Anorthosis Famagusta AEL

Recent form · 10 last

Anorthosis Famagusta 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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AEL 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Anorthosis Famagusta 2–4 AEL (6 last)

Anorthosis Famagusta89-93AEL
AEL84-82Anorthosis Famagusta
AEL86-72Anorthosis Famagusta
AEL86-83Anorthosis Famagusta
Anorthosis Famagusta96-88AEL
Anorthosis Famagusta80-65AEL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anorthosis Famagusta 1420 · AEL 1580

	Anorthosis Famagusta	AEL
Our model	40%	60%
Market	32%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 154.9 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.9Anorthosis Famagusta 74.6 · AEL 80.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEL (rating 1420 vs 1580).
AEL is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours AEL: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Anorthosis Famagusta	AEL
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77 / 83.7	75.9 / 77.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.2 / 81.4	73.4 / 73.6
Est. result	75	80

Est. total154.9

Line O/U154.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.85

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 154.51.83

Under 154.51.83

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 157.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Bet365 2.85
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	2
14:35 +22’	2.85	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Anorthosis Famagusta 2–0–4 AEL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Cyprus Division A	Anorthosis Famagusta	89-93	AEL
12/12/25 Cyprus Division A	AEL	84-82	Anorthosis Famagusta
29/03/25 Cyprus Division A	AEL	86-72	Anorthosis Famagusta
08/01/25 Cyprus Division A	AEL	86-83	Anorthosis Famagusta
04/11/24 Cyprus Division A	Anorthosis Famagusta	96-88	AEL
31/03/24 Cyprus Division A	Anorthosis Famagusta	80-65	AEL

Standings · Cyprus Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	4	0	345	270	8
2	Keravnos	4	4	0	370	303	8
3	Apoel	4	3	1	320	282	7
4	AEL	4	3	1	307	276	7
5	EN Paralimni	4	2	2	339	335	6
6	Etha Engomis	4	2	2	274	290	6
7	Digenis Morphou B.C.	4	1	3	272	312	5
8	Apollon Limassol	4	1	3	285	345	5
9	Anorthosis Famagusta	4	0	4	301	329	4
10	Achilleas Kaimakliou	4	0	4	294	365	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anorthosis Famagusta	AEL
Keravnos	84-94 L	60-92 L
Digenis Morphou B.C.	74-76 L	71-49 W
Etha Engomis	64-67 L	74-70 W
EN Paralimni	79-92 L	89-77 W
Apoel	71-94 L	73-80 L
AEK Larnaca	64-81 L	71-78 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AEL (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anorthosis Famagusta

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	84-94	L
25/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	74-76	L
19/10	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	64-67	L
11/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	79-92	L
07/03	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	90-78	W
13/02	Apoel Cyprus Division A	71-94	L
07/02	AEL Cyprus Division A	89-93	L
31/01	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	64-81	L
26/01	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A	98-95	W
16/01	Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A	57-67	L

AEL

LWLLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A	71-49	W
26/10	Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A	74-70	W
17/10	EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A	89-77	W
12/10	Apoel Cyprus Division A	73-80	L
02/05	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	60-92	L
29/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	87-82	W
25/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	66-86	L
22/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	81-85	L
18/04	Keravnos Cyprus Division A	87-80	W
08/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A	71-78	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anorthosis Famagusta vs AEL?

Our model gives 66% to AEL.

How many points are expected in Anorthosis Famagusta vs AEL?

The model estimates 154.9 total points (Anorthosis Famagusta 74.6 · AEL 80.4).