Basketball · Tunisia League · 04/11, 17:00

Prediction: ES Rades vs ES Goulette

Team pages: ES Goulette

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.1Total

ES Rades73.5

ES Goulette74.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

ES Rades ES Goulette

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

ES Rades 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLLL

ES Goulette 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLWW

Head-to-head

ES Rades 6–0 ES Goulette (6 last)

ES Rades74-50ES Goulette
ES Goulette61-72ES Rades
ES Goulette67-73ES Rades
ES Rades83-70ES Goulette
ES Goulette75-88ES Rades
ES Rades85-77ES Goulette

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ES Rades 1461 · ES Goulette 1465

	ES Rades	ES Goulette
Our model	62%	38%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 148.1 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.1ES Rades 73.5 · ES Goulette 74.6

Match keys

H2H favours ES Rades: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ES Rades	ES Goulette
Points F\|A (Last 10)	63.8 / 75	73.2 / 77.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	64.6 / 77.6	75.8 / 76
Est. result	74	75

Est. total148.1

Line O/U146.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 146.51.83

Under 146.51.83

Diff.: 1.85 · Est. total: 144.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
18:34 +14’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ES Rades 6–0–0 ES Goulette

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Tunisia Federation Cup	ES Rades	74-50	ES Goulette
10/03/26 Tunisia Federation Cup	ES Goulette	61-72	ES Rades
17/02/26 Tunisia League	ES Goulette	67-73	ES Rades
13/01/26 Tunisia League	ES Rades	83-70	ES Goulette
15/04/25 Tunisia League	ES Goulette	75-88	ES Rades
14/03/25 Tunisia League	ES Rades	85-77	ES Goulette

Standings · Tunisia League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	US Monastir	10	9	1	810	573	19
2	Club Africain	10	9	1	798	587	19
3	JS Kairouan	10	9	1	758	593	19
4	Etoile Sportive Sahel	10	7	3	714	674	17
5	DS Grombalia	10	6	4	736	698	16
6	CS Sfaxien	10	6	4	658	681	16
7	ES Goulette	10	5	5	732	773	15
8	Stade Nabeulien	10	4	6	669	726	14
9	JS Manazeh	10	2	8	608	690	12
10	ES Rades	10	2	8	638	750	12
11	CS Hammam Sousse	10	1	9	566	733	11
12	US Ansar	10	0	10	523	732	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ES Rades	ES Goulette
Stade Nabeulien	65-73 L	77-81 L
Club Africain	67-96 L	68-80 L
Etoile Sportive Sahel	69-74 L	72-79 L
US Monastir	56-87 L	62-104 L
JS Manazeh	66-58 W	76-63 W
DS Grombalia	83-84 L	85-84 W
US Ansar	63-54 W	85-60 W
CS Hammam Sousse	55-74 L	65-61 W
JS Kairouan	68-82 L	60-90 L
CS Sfaxien	46-68 L	82-71 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 8 L	5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: ES Goulette (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ES Rades

LLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Stade Nabeulien Tunisia League	65-73	L
24/10	Club Africain Tunisia League	67-96	L
21/10	Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League	69-74	L
17/10	US Monastir Tunisia League	56-87	L
14/10	JS Manazeh Tunisia League	66-58	W
10/10	DS Grombalia Tunisia League	83-84	L
07/10	US Ansar Tunisia League	63-54	W
04/10	CS Hammam Sousse Tunisia League	55-74	L
30/09	JS Kairouan Tunisia League	68-82	L
26/09	CS Sfaxien Tunisia League	46-68	L

ES Goulette

LLWLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	US Ansar Tunisia League	85-60	W
24/10	DS Grombalia Tunisia League	85-84	W
21/10	US Monastir Tunisia League	62-104	L
17/10	CS Hammam Sousse Tunisia League	65-61	W
14/10	CS Sfaxien Tunisia League	82-71	W
10/10	JS Kairouan Tunisia League	60-90	L
07/10	Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League	72-79	L
03/10	JS Manazeh Tunisia League	76-63	W
30/09	Stade Nabeulien Tunisia League	77-81	L
26/09	Club Africain Tunisia League	68-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ES Rades vs ES Goulette?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (ES Rades 47% · ES Goulette 53%).

How many points are expected in ES Rades vs ES Goulette?

The model estimates 148.1 total points (ES Rades 73.5 · ES Goulette 74.6).