Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE Women · 18/09, 21:00

Prediction: Interamericana (W) vs Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Team pages: Interamericana (W) · Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

134.8Total

Interamericana (W)64.3

Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)70.5

1X2

33% 67%

Interamericana (W) Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Interamericana (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLLL

Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Interamericana (W) 0–3 Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) (3 last)

Interamericana (W)49-53Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)
Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)64-56Interamericana (W)
Interamericana (W)51-55Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Interamericana (W) 1435 · Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) 1533

	Interamericana (W)	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)
Our model	49%	51%
Market	29%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 134.8 points · Bet365 line 115.5 · +19.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points134.8Interamericana (W) 64.3 · Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) 70.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) (rating 1435 vs 1533).
Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Tec Mty Guadalajara (W): 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Interamericana (W)	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	54.7 / 54.6	59.2 / 55.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	53.8 / 63.2	60.4 / 57.4
Est. result	64	71

Est. total134.8

Line O/U115.5

Diff.19.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.25

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 115.51.83

Under 115.51.83

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 111.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.31 ★
2	1.48 → 1.30▼	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 11.4%

Time*	1	2
21:44 +7’	2.55	1.48
01:22 +25’	3.25▲	1.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
08:42 +727’	3.59	1.16
21:38 +13’	3.21▼	1.21▲
16:02 +45’	3.31▲	1.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Interamericana (W) 0–0–3 Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Mexico Liga ABE Women	Interamericana (W)	49-53	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)
03/10/25 Mexico Liga ABE Women	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)	64-56	Interamericana (W)
22/03/25 Mexico Liga ABE Women	Interamericana (W)	51-55	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Interamericana (W)	Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)
CEU Monterrey (W)	51-58 L	54-50 W
Anahuac Norte (W)	63-64 L	53-44 W
Tec Mty Cem (W)	48-87 L	70-84 L
Tec Mty Queretaro (W)	56-34 W	63-45 W
UANL (W)	51-58 L	71-57 W
Tec Mty Monterrey (W)	53-59 L	58-73 L
UVAQ Morelia (W)	28-14 W	63-36 W
UDLAP (W)	71-45 W	50-43 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Interamericana (W)

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/04	CEU Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	51-58	L
17/04	UPAEP (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	51-73	L
11/04	Anahuac Norte (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	63-64	L
10/04	Tec Mty Cem (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	48-87	L
31/03	Tec Mty Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	56-34	W
28/03	UANL (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	51-58	L
07/03	Tec Mty Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	53-59	L
06/03	CEU Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	75-54	W
28/02	UVAQ Morelia (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	28-14	W
21/02	UDLAP (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	71-45	W

Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/05	Tec Mty Toluca (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	58-78	L
30/04	Tec Mty Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	58-73	L
27/04	UANL (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	71-57	W
17/04	Tec Mty Aguascalientes (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	52-43	W
11/04	UVAQ Morelia (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	63-36	W
10/04	Tec Mty Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	63-45	W
01/04	CEU Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	54-50	W
28/03	Anahuac Norte (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	53-44	W
27/03	Tec Mty Cem (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	70-84	L
20/03	UDLAP (W) Mexico Liga ABE Women	50-43	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Interamericana (W) vs Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)?

Our model gives 67% to Tec Mty Guadalajara (W).

How many points are expected in Interamericana (W) vs Tec Mty Guadalajara (W)?

The model estimates 134.8 total points (Interamericana (W) 64.3 · Tec Mty Guadalajara (W) 70.5).