Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 26/09, 03:15

Prediction: Santa Tecla vs Salvadorenos

Team pages: Santa Tecla · Salvadorenos

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.3Total

Santa Tecla75.7

Salvadorenos75.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Santa Tecla Salvadorenos

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Tecla 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLWL

Salvadorenos 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Santa Tecla 4–2 Salvadorenos (6 last)

Salvadorenos54-65Santa Tecla
Santa Tecla75-63Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos75-68Santa Tecla
Santa Tecla70-63Salvadorenos
Santa Tecla91-48Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos49-44Santa Tecla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Tecla 1475 · Salvadorenos 1475

	Santa Tecla	Salvadorenos
Our model	63%	37%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 151.3 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.3Santa Tecla 75.7 · Salvadorenos 75.7

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Tecla: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Santa Tecla	Salvadorenos
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.1 / 83.1	73.4 / 75.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.4 / 81.2	76.4 / 79.4
Est. result	76	76

Est. total151.3

Line O/U155.5

Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 153.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
23:41 +5’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
22:44 +3’	1.91	1.70
23:34 +12’	1.92▲	1.69▼
01:06 +39’	1.95▲	1.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Tecla 4–0–2 Salvadorenos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	54-65	Santa Tecla
14/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Tecla	75-63	Salvadorenos
12/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	75-68	Santa Tecla
10/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Tecla	70-63	Salvadorenos
15/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Tecla	91-48	Salvadorenos
09/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	49-44	Santa Tecla

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	A.Lobos BKB	8	7	1	683	597	15
2	Santa Ana BC	8	6	2	706	668	14
3	Isidro Metapan	7	6	1	641	531	13
4	CD Aguila	7	5	2	580	522	12
5	Cojutepeque	7	4	3	605	502	11
6	Salvadorenos	7	3	4	561	559	10
7	Santiagueno	6	3	3	470	539	9
8	Santa Tecla	7	2	5	527	576	9
9	San Salvador	7	2	5	605	611	9
10	Brujos Izalco	7	1	6	514	588	8
11	Ahuachapan	7	0	7	483	682	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Tecla	Salvadorenos
Brujos Izalco	94-76 W	69-76 L
CD Aguila	76-89 L	81-87 L
A.Lobos BKB	56-88 L	78-80 L
Isidro Metapan	79-96 L	77-83 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Salvadorenos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Tecla

WLLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	70-79	L
21/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-73	W
15/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-89	L
12/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-76	W
10/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-89	L
08/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	56-88	L
24/06	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-96	L
22/06	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	74-82	L
20/06	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-105	L
16/06	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-54	W

Salvadorenos

LWLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-71	W
20/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-76	L
18/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-87	L
12/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-80	L
10/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-83	L
06/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	97-83	W
16/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	54-65	L
14/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	63-75	L
12/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-68	W
10/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	63-70	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Tecla vs Salvadorenos?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Santa Tecla 50% · Salvadorenos 50%).

How many points are expected in Santa Tecla vs Salvadorenos?

The model estimates 151.3 total points (Santa Tecla 75.7 · Salvadorenos 75.7).