Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 26/09, 03:15
Prediction: Ahuachapan vs Santa Ana BC
Team pages: Ahuachapan · Santa Ana BC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.3Total
Ahuachapan79.5
Santa Ana BC92.8
1X2
Ahuachapan
Santa Ana BC
Recent form · 10 last
Ahuachapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Santa Ana BC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahuachapan
3–3
Santa Ana BC
(6 last)
- Ahuachapan112-85Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC75-101Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan88-92Santa Ana BC
- Santa Ana BC79-89Ahuachapan
- Santa Ana BC96-77Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan65-89Santa Ana BC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahuachapan 1412 · Santa Ana BC 1485
| Ahuachapan | Santa Ana BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.3 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.3Ahuachapan 79.5 · Santa Ana BC 92.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Ana BC (rating 1412 vs 1485).
- Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (83% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ahuachapan | Santa Ana BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.4 / 97.5 | 83.1 / 86.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.4 / 98.4 | 91 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 93 |
Est. total172.3
Line O/U168.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahuachapan 3–0–3 Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 112-85 | Santa Ana BC |
| 16/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 75-101 | Ahuachapan |
| 06/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 88-92 | Santa Ana BC |
| 18/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 79-89 | Ahuachapan |
| 20/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Ana BC | 96-77 | Ahuachapan |
| 25/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 65-89 | Santa Ana BC |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.Lobos BKB | 8 | 7 | 1 | 683 | 597 | 15 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 706 | 668 | 14 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 641 | 531 | 13 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 580 | 522 | 12 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 7 | 4 | 3 | 605 | 502 | 11 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 561 | 559 | 10 |
| 7 | Santiagueno | 6 | 3 | 3 | 470 | 539 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 7 | 2 | 5 | 527 | 576 | 9 |
| 9 | San Salvador | 7 | 2 | 5 | 605 | 611 | 9 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 7 | 1 | 6 | 514 | 588 | 8 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 7 | 0 | 7 | 483 | 682 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahuachapan | Santa Ana BC |
|---|---|---|
| A.Lobos BKB | 71-96 L | 82-91 L |
| Santa Tecla | 73-84 L | 89-68 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 76-108 L | 90-89 W |
| CD Aguila | 56-95 L | 73-84 L |
| San Salvador | 86-109 L | 105-103 W |
| Cojutepeque | 39-102 L | 84-78 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahuachapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-96 | L |
| 21/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
| 18/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-108 | L |
| 13/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-95 | L |
| 09/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
86-109 | L |
| 07/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
39-102 | L |
| 14/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-101 | L |
| 12/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-105 | L |
| 10/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
80-94 | L |
| 03/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-81 | W |
Santa Ana BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-103 | W |
| 20/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
95-73 | W |
| 17/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-91 | L |
| 15/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-68 | W |
| 13/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-78 | W |
| 08/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
90-89 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
| 07/06 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-78 | L |
| 31/05 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-101 | L |
| 29/05 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-104 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahuachapan vs Santa Ana BC?
Our model gives 83% to Santa Ana BC.
How many points are expected in Ahuachapan vs Santa Ana BC?
The model estimates 172.3 total points (Ahuachapan 79.5 · Santa Ana BC 92.8).