Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women · 13/10, 02:00

Prediction: Pollitas de Isabela (W) vs Explosivas de Moca (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

145.3Total

Pollitas de Isabela (W)76.5

Explosivas de Moca (W)68.8

1X2

71% 29%

Pollitas de Isabela (W) Explosivas de Moca (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Pollitas de Isabela (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Explosivas de Moca (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Pollitas de Isabela (W) 3–3 Explosivas de Moca (W) (6 last)

Explosivas de Moca (W)54-60Pollitas de Isabela (W)
Explosivas de Moca (W)69-68Pollitas de Isabela (W)
Pollitas de Isabela (W)81-78Explosivas de Moca (W)
Explosivas de Moca (W)72-58Pollitas de Isabela (W)
Pollitas de Isabela (W)73-71Explosivas de Moca (W)
Explosivas de Moca (W)89-61Pollitas de Isabela (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pollitas de Isabela (W) 1543 · Explosivas de Moca (W) 1486

	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	Explosivas de Moca (W)
Our model	70%	30%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 145.3 points · Bet365 line 130.5 · +14.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points145.3Pollitas de Isabela (W) 76.5 · Explosivas de Moca (W) 68.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pollitas de Isabela (W) (rating 1543 vs 1486).
Pollitas de Isabela (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	Explosivas de Moca (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	70.5 / 65.4	69.7 / 67.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	66.6 / 63	67.2 / 68
Est. result	77	69

Est. total145.3

Line O/U130.5

Diff.14.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.31

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 130.51.80

Under 130.51.87

Diff.: 6 · Est. total: 136.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.31▲	Bet365 1.31
2	3.55 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.30 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	2
17:24 +22’	1.27	3.55
19:28 +17’	1.26▼	3.65▲
22:37 +9’	1.31▲	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:50 +55’	1.33	2.82
17:36 +11’	1.34▲	2.79▼
18:27 +18’	1.33▼	2.82▲
21:42 +4’	1.27▼	3.33▲
22:37 +8’	1.27▼	3.35▲
23:28 +17’	1.27▲	3.32▼
00:06 +39’	1.28▲	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pollitas de Isabela (W) 3–0–3 Explosivas de Moca (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Explosivas de Moca (W)	54-60	Pollitas de Isabela (W)
02/11/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Explosivas de Moca (W)	69-68	Pollitas de Isabela (W)
31/10/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	81-78	Explosivas de Moca (W)
29/10/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Explosivas de Moca (W)	72-58	Pollitas de Isabela (W)
26/10/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	73-71	Explosivas de Moca (W)
25/10/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	Explosivas de Moca (W)	89-61	Pollitas de Isabela (W)

Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Gigantes de Carolina (W)	10	8	2	708	655
2	Atenienses de Manati (W)	10	8	2	787	732
3	Criollos de Caguas (W)	11	8	3	941	852
4	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	10	7	3	705	654
5	Cangrejeras de Santurce (W)	12	8	4	898	798
6	Explosivas de Moca (W)	10	4	6	697	674
7	Leonas de Ponce (W)	9	3	6	632	699
8	Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W)	10	3	7	680	772
9	Cariduras de Fajardo (W)	11	2	9	709	835
10	Ganaderas de Hatillo (W)	11	1	10	699	785
11	Capitaneras de Arecibo	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pollitas de Isabela (W)	Explosivas de Moca (W)
Atenienses de Manati (W)	85-58 W	71-75 L
Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W)	58-63 L	73-81 L
Ganaderas de Hatillo (W)	71-61 W	45-70 L
Criollos de Caguas (W)	74-79 L	80-65 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pollitas de Isabela (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pollitas de Isabela (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Atenienses de Manati (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	85-58	W
08/10	Explosivas de Moca (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	60-54	W
05/10	Gigantes de Carolina (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	59-79	L
02/10	Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	58-63	L
30/09	Ganaderas de Hatillo (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	71-61	W
28/09	Leonas de Ponce (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	68-63	W
26/09	Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	74-63	W
24/09	Ganaderas de Hatillo (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	69-68	W
21/09	Criollos de Caguas (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	74-79	L
18/09	Leonas de Ponce (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	87-66	W

Explosivas de Moca (W)

LWWWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Cariduras de Fajardo (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	82-66	W
08/10	Pollitas de Isabela (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	54-60	L
05/10	Cangrejeras de Santurce (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	71-77	L
03/10	Cangrejeras de Santurce (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	58-62	L
01/10	Atenienses de Manati (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	71-75	L
28/09	Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	73-81	L
24/09	Criollos de Caguas (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	80-65	W
21/09	Cariduras de Fajardo (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	65-64	W
19/09	Monarcas de Juana Diaz (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	98-54	W
13/09	Ganaderas de Hatillo (W) Puerto Rico Superior Nacional Women	45-70	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pollitas de Isabela (W) vs Explosivas de Moca (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Pollitas de Isabela (W).

How many points are expected in Pollitas de Isabela (W) vs Explosivas de Moca (W)?

The model estimates 145.3 total points (Pollitas de Isabela (W) 76.5 · Explosivas de Moca (W) 68.8).