Basketball · Israel Super League · 11/10, 17:30
Prediction: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Estimated points
176.2Total
Hapoel Beer Sheva81.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv95.1
1X2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Tel Aviv
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1–5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Hapoel Tel Aviv85-67Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Tel Aviv112-108Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva77-102Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv98-86Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Tel Aviv82-83Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva88-98Hapoel Tel Aviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1425 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1619
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
176.2 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +7.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points176.2Hapoel Beer Sheva 81.1 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 95.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Tel Aviv (rating 1425 vs 1619).
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Hapoel Tel Aviv: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.1 / 94.8 | 85.1 / 82.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88 / 99 | 84.2 / 87.2 |
| Est. result | 81 | 95 |
Est. total176.2
Line O/U168.5
Diff.7.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–0–5 Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/26 Israel Winner Basket Cup | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 85-67 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 25/01/26 Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 112-108 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 14/12/25 Israel Super League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 77-102 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 25/09/25 Israel Winner Basket Cup | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 98-86 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 01/02/25 Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 82-83 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 28/10/24 Israel Super League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 88-98 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Herzliya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Eilat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Galil Elyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Haemek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Holon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Elitzur Kiryat Ata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ironi Nes Ziona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ironi Ramat Gan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Ashdod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Rishon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 83-108 L | 79-83 L |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | 87-103 L | 89-81 W |
| Maccabi Rishon | 84-87 L | 96-83 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Tel Aviv (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
83-108 | L |
| 01/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
90-106 | L |
| 27/05 | Elitzur Netanya Israel Super League |
79-83 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
87-103 | L |
| 15/05 | Ironi Ramat Gan Israel Super League |
101-95 | W |
| 10/05 | Ironi Nes Ziona Israel Super League |
68-105 | L |
| 06/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
69-81 | L |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Galil Elyon Israel Super League |
78-92 | L |
| 27/04 | Maccabi Rishon Israel Super League |
84-87 | L |
| 23/04 | Bnei Herzliya Israel Super League |
92-88 | W |
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
79-83 | L |
| 21/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
80-74 | W |
| 18/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
98-102 | L |
| 16/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
75-96 | L |
| 11/06 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
89-81 | W |
| 09/06 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
88-84 | W |
| 07/06 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
77-67 | W |
| 04/06 | Maccabi Rishon Israel Super League |
96-83 | W |
| 02/06 | Maccabi Rishon Israel Super League |
95-69 | W |
| 31/05 | Maccabi Rishon Israel Super League |
74-82 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our model gives 84% to Hapoel Tel Aviv.
How many points are expected in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model estimates 176.2 total points (Hapoel Beer Sheva 81.1 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 95.1).