Basketball · Israel Super League · 14/11, 19:55
Prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Team pages: Maccabi Tel Aviv · Hapoel Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.8Total
Maccabi Tel Aviv88.4
Hapoel Jerusalem84.5
1X2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Jerusalem
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Tel Aviv
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Jerusalem
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4–2
Hapoel Jerusalem
(6 last)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv88-71Hapoel Jerusalem
- Hapoel Jerusalem105-112Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv94-85Hapoel Jerusalem
- Maccabi Tel Aviv95-84Hapoel Jerusalem
- Maccabi Tel Aviv69-79Hapoel Jerusalem
- Maccabi Tel Aviv79-84Hapoel Jerusalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1556 · Hapoel Jerusalem 1622
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.8 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.8Maccabi Tel Aviv 88.4 · Hapoel Jerusalem 84.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Jerusalem (rating 1556 vs 1622).
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 94.1 / 84.7 | 81.5 / 75.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 99.2 / 91.8 | 80.6 / 68 |
| Est. result | 88 | 85 |
Est. total172.8
Line O/U172.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–0–2 Hapoel Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/26 Israel Winner Basket Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 88-71 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 03/05/26 Israel Super League | Hapoel Jerusalem | 105-112 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 15/02/26 Israel Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 94-85 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 11/01/26 Israel Super League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 95-84 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 26/09/25 Israel Winner Basket Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69-79 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 21/09/25 Israel Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 79-84 | Hapoel Jerusalem |
Standings · Israel Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 5 | 5 | 0 | 403 | 340 | 10 |
| 2 | Maccabi Rishon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 408 | 390 | 8 |
| 3 | Hapoel Galil Elyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 458 | 470 | 8 |
| 4 | Hapoel Eilat | 5 | 3 | 2 | 426 | 419 | 8 |
| 5 | Ironi Nes Ziona | 5 | 3 | 2 | 429 | 400 | 8 |
| 6 | Ironi Ramat Gan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 427 | 445 | 8 |
| 7 | Maccabi Ashdod | 5 | 2 | 3 | 372 | 384 | 7 |
| 8 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 1 | 341 | 306 | 7 |
| 9 | Elitzur Kiryat Ata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 441 | 489 | 7 |
| 10 | Bnei Herzliya | 5 | 2 | 3 | 437 | 450 | 7 |
| 11 | Hapoel Holon | 5 | 1 | 4 | 400 | 433 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5 | 1 | 4 | 409 | 450 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4 | 2 | 2 | 413 | 380 | 6 |
| 14 | Hapoel Haemek | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 375 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 87-105 L | 70-60 W |
| Hapoel Holon | 89-61 W | 92-69 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
87-105 | L |
| 24/10 | Maccabi Rishon Israel Super League |
90-93 | L |
| 18/10 | Elitzur Kiryat Ata Israel Super League |
116-89 | W |
| 10/10 | Hapoel Galil Elyon Israel Super League |
120-93 | W |
| 23/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
83-79 | W |
| 21/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
74-80 | L |
| 18/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
102-98 | W |
| 16/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
96-75 | W |
| 12/06 | Hapoel Holon Israel Super League |
89-61 | W |
| 10/06 | Hapoel Holon Israel Super League |
84-74 | W |
Hapoel Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Hapoel Haemek Israel Super League |
65-59 | W |
| 01/11 | Hapoel Eilat Israel Super League |
88-78 | W |
| 25/10 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
70-60 | W |
| 17/10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Super League |
88-74 | W |
| 11/10 | Hapoel Holon Israel Super League |
92-69 | W |
| 11/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
81-89 | L |
| 09/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
84-88 | L |
| 07/06 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
67-77 | L |
| 02/06 | Hapoel Haemek Israel Super League |
98-91 | W |
| 31/05 | Hapoel Haemek Israel Super League |
82-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem?
Our model gives 61% to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
How many points are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem?
The model estimates 172.8 total points (Maccabi Tel Aviv 88.4 · Hapoel Jerusalem 84.5).